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2021-12-09

Model Predictions

Model Chicago Bulls Cleveland Cavaliers Spread Result
Elo 30.8% 69.2% -
Bradley-Terry 33.4% 66.6% -
Margin 20.7% 79.3% +7.4 (15.6 off)
Pythagorean 44.7% 55.3% -
Efficiency 34.6% 65.4% -
Adjusted Efficiency 41.3% 58.7% -
Log Adjusted 41.3% 58.7% -
Points Off/Def 40.0% 60.0% -

Actual: Cleveland Cavaliers +23 (115-92). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Chicago Bulls

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Lonzo Ball * 39 6-12 4-9 3-3 4 7 3 0 19 - -
Zach LaVine * 35 9-21 1-3 4-7 4 9 0 0 23 - -
Ayo Dosunmu * 34 2-2 0-0 1-2 0 3 0 0 5 - -
Nikola Vucevic * 30 8-23 1-7 1-2 12 0 0 2 18 - -
Derrick Jones Jr. * 28 4-7 1-2 2-2 2 0 1 0 11 - -
Troy Brown Jr. 26 3-8 0-3 1-1 4 1 2 1 7 - -
Devon Dotson 19 2-6 0-1 2-2 1 0 0 0 6 - -
Tony Bradley 14 1-3 0-0 0-0 7 1 0 0 2 - -
Alize Johnson 11 0-2 0-1 1-2 3 0 0 0 1 - -

Cleveland Cavaliers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jarrett Allen * 32 5-9 0-1 3-4 12 4 1 1 13 - -
Darius Garland * 32 9-16 3-7 3-3 3 6 1 0 24 - -
Evan Mobley * 31 8-11 0-0 0-0 9 1 2 5 16 - -
Lauri Markkanen * 27 5-8 2-4 2-2 1 1 0 0 14 - -
Isaac Okoro * 27 4-7 0-1 1-2 4 1 0 0 9 - -
Ricky Rubio 23 3-7 0-1 5-5 4 9 1 0 11 - -
Cedi Osman 21 2-4 2-3 0-0 1 1 3 2 6 - -
Kevin Love 19 4-11 3-6 0-0 5 1 0 0 11 - -
Dylan Windler 4 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 0 2 0 0 - -
Dean Wade 4 3-4 3-4 0-0 1 0 0 0 9 - -
Denzel Valentine 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -
Lamar Stevens 4 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 2 - -
Kevin Pangos 4 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 3 0 0 0 - -

* = starter