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2021-12-08

Model Predictions

Model Boston Celtics Los Angeles Lakers Spread Result
Elo 72.9% 27.1% -
Bradley-Terry 62.6% 37.4% -
Margin 78.0% 22.0% -6.9 (21.9 off)
Pythagorean 59.0% 41.0% -
Efficiency 77.2% 22.8% -
Adjusted Efficiency 77.3% 22.7% -
Log Adjusted 77.4% 22.6% -
Points Off/Def 66.0% 34.0% -

Actual: Los Angeles Lakers +15 (117-102). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Boston Celtics

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jayson Tatum * 33 13-22 5-7 3-5 8 3 1 1 34 - -
Marcus Smart * 33 2-7 0-2 2-3 4 6 3 0 6 - -
Dennis Schroder * 31 1-6 0-3 8-10 1 5 1 0 10 - -
Al Horford * 30 3-9 1-5 0-0 8 2 2 0 7 - -
Robert Williams III * 24 5-7 0-0 3-4 4 1 1 1 13 - -
Romeo Langford 16 2-3 0-0 1-1 1 1 0 0 5 - -
Josh Richardson 15 4-9 1-4 2-4 0 2 0 0 11 - -
Aaron Nesmith 14 4-8 1-3 0-0 0 0 0 0 9 - -
Grant Williams 13 0-2 0-1 1-2 1 0 0 1 1 - -
Payton Pritchard 12 2-6 2-5 0-0 1 5 0 0 6 - -
Enes Freedom 8 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 1 0 1 0 - -
Juancho Hernangomez 5 0-3 0-3 0-0 3 1 0 0 0 - -

Los Angeles Lakers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
LeBron James * 36 13-19 2-5 2-2 4 5 0 0 30 - -
Anthony Davis * 35 7-13 0-0 3-4 16 3 2 2 17 - -
Russell Westbrook * 35 9-16 1-4 5-6 3 11 1 0 24 - -
Talen Horton-Tucker * 34 5-14 0-5 2-3 6 4 2 1 12 - -
Avery Bradley * 24 2-6 1-2 0-0 3 0 0 0 5 - -
Carmelo Anthony 21 4-11 0-4 1-2 8 0 1 0 9 - -
Malik Monk 19 4-6 2-3 0-0 2 2 1 0 10 - -
Wayne Ellington 13 2-4 2-4 0-0 1 0 0 0 6 - -
Dwight Howard 12 2-4 0-0 0-0 8 0 0 1 4 - -
Kent Bazemore 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -
Austin Reaves 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

* = starter