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2021-12-08

Model Predictions

Model New York Knicks San Antonio Spurs Spread Result
Elo 18.6% 81.4% - โœ—
Bradley-Terry 52.7% 47.3% - โœ“
Margin 55.1% 44.9% -1.1 โœ“ (10.9 off)
Pythagorean 47.0% 53.0% - โœ—
Efficiency 45.4% 54.6% - โœ—
Adjusted Efficiency 47.8% 52.2% - โœ—
Log Adjusted 47.7% 52.3% - โœ—
Points Off/Def 43.3% 56.7% - โœ—

Actual: San Antonio Spurs -12 (109-121). Predictions use season-end ratings.

New York Knicks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
RJ Barrett * 38 11-20 7-8 3-4 5 2 2 0 32 - -
Alec Burks * 36 6-15 3-8 3-3 4 5 0 0 18 - -
Julius Randle * 35 5-12 3-5 2-2 7 7 1 1 15 - -
Nerlens Noel * 25 1-1 0-0 0-0 9 3 0 1 2 - -
Evan Fournier * 20 3-8 1-6 0-0 3 1 0 0 7 - -
Immanuel Quickley 26 5-12 2-8 4-4 5 2 1 0 16 - -
Mitchell Robinson 22 4-6 0-0 3-4 14 0 2 3 11 - -
Derrick Rose 21 4-11 2-2 2-2 2 2 1 0 12 - -
Obi Toppin 12 4-6 0-1 0-0 3 0 0 0 8 - -
Quentin Grimes 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

San Antonio Spurs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Derrick White * 34 9-18 3-6 5-5 6 7 0 0 26 - -
Dejounte Murray * 34 6-15 2-5 1-1 7 7 1 0 15 - -
Jakob Poeltl * 29 6-11 0-0 1-3 8 5 0 3 13 - -
Doug McDermott * 25 5-11 3-7 0-0 0 3 0 0 13 - -
Keldon Johnson * 15 2-5 0-0 1-4 5 1 1 0 5 - -
Bryn Forbes 20 4-9 2-6 2-2 1 1 1 0 12 - -
Lonnie Walker IV 16 1-7 1-5 0-0 2 2 0 0 3 - -
Drew Eubanks 15 2-4 0-0 0-0 7 0 1 1 4 - -
Joshua Primo 15 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 2 0 0 0 - -
Keita Bates-Diop 15 3-7 0-0 3-3 5 1 1 0 9 - -
Tre Jones 12 1-2 0-0 2-2 1 1 0 0 4 - -
Jock Landale 2 2-2 1-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 5 - -
Joe Wieskamp 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

* = starter