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2021-12-08

Model Predictions

Model New York Knicks San Antonio Spurs Spread Result
Elo 18.6% 81.4% -
Bradley-Terry 52.7% 47.3% -
Margin 55.1% 44.9% -1.1 (10.9 off)
Pythagorean 47.0% 53.0% -
Efficiency 45.4% 54.6% -
Adjusted Efficiency 47.8% 52.2% -
Log Adjusted 47.7% 52.3% -
Points Off/Def 43.3% 56.7% -

Actual: San Antonio Spurs -12 (109-121). Predictions use season-end ratings.

New York Knicks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
RJ Barrett * 38 11-20 7-8 3-4 5 2 2 0 32 21 -
Alec Burks * 36 6-15 3-8 3-3 4 5 0 0 18 12 -
Julius Randle * 35 5-12 3-5 2-2 7 7 1 1 15 19 -
Nerlens Noel * 25 1-1 0-0 0-0 9 3 0 1 2 14 -
Evan Fournier * 20 3-8 1-6 0-0 3 1 0 0 7 3 -
Immanuel Quickley 26 5-12 2-8 4-4 5 2 1 0 16 12 -
Mitchell Robinson 22 4-6 0-0 3-4 14 0 2 3 11 24 -
Derrick Rose 21 4-11 2-2 2-2 2 2 1 0 12 6 -
Obi Toppin 12 4-6 0-1 0-0 3 0 0 0 8 5 -
Quentin Grimes 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

San Antonio Spurs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Derrick White * 34 9-18 3-6 5-5 6 7 0 0 26 21 -
Dejounte Murray * 34 6-15 2-5 1-1 7 7 1 0 15 15 -
Jakob Poeltl * 29 6-11 0-0 1-3 8 5 0 3 13 18 -
Doug McDermott * 25 5-11 3-7 0-0 0 3 0 0 13 5 -
Keldon Johnson * 15 2-5 0-0 1-4 5 1 1 0 5 7 -
Bryn Forbes 20 4-9 2-6 2-2 1 1 1 0 12 6 -
Lonnie Walker IV 16 1-7 1-5 0-0 2 2 0 0 3 0 -
Drew Eubanks 15 2-4 0-0 0-0 7 0 1 1 4 9 -
Joshua Primo 15 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 2 0 0 0 2 -
Keita Bates-Diop 15 3-7 0-0 3-3 5 1 1 0 9 9 -
Tre Jones 12 1-2 0-0 2-2 1 1 0 0 4 4 -
Jock Landale 2 2-2 1-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 5 3 -
Joe Wieskamp 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter