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2021-12-07

Model Predictions

Model Orlando Magic Golden State Warriors Spread Result
Elo 31.0% 69.0% -
Bradley-Terry 26.0% 74.0% -
Margin 17.2% 82.8% +8.6 (22.4 off)
Pythagorean 29.1% 70.9% -
Efficiency 8.4% 91.6% -
Adjusted Efficiency 10.3% 89.7% -
Log Adjusted 10.2% 89.8% -
Points Off/Def 18.1% 81.9% -

Actual: Golden State Warriors +31 (126-95). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Orlando Magic

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Franz Wagner * 30 7-13 1-3 0-0 4 6 3 0 15 15 -
Wendell Carter Jr. * 29 4-8 2-4 4-5 12 3 1 0 14 22 -
Gary Harris * 27 6-10 3-6 2-3 3 1 1 0 17 12 -
Cole Anthony * 27 3-11 0-5 3-3 1 1 0 0 9 0 -
Mo Bamba * 17 1-4 0-3 0-0 3 2 0 2 2 5 -
Chuma Okeke 25 3-9 1-4 3-4 2 1 2 2 10 8 -
R.J. Hampton 23 5-6 1-1 5-6 2 0 1 0 16 13 -
Terrence Ross 21 3-6 2-5 0-0 5 0 0 0 8 7 -
Moritz Wagner 17 0-5 0-3 1-1 3 3 1 0 1 3 -
Mychal Mulder 14 1-3 1-3 0-0 3 0 1 0 3 4 -
Ignas Brazdeikis 5 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 -

Golden State Warriors

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jordan Poole * 32 4-15 2-6 2-2 7 7 1 0 12 12 -
Stephen Curry * 30 8-16 7-13 8-8 3 8 2 0 31 28 -
Andrew Wiggins * 29 9-17 8-10 2-4 3 3 1 0 28 18 -
Draymond Green * 28 3-4 0-0 1-2 7 3 3 1 7 17 -
Kevon Looney * 12 2-3 0-0 3-4 5 1 0 0 7 10 -
Damion Lee 23 2-6 0-2 1-1 5 1 4 0 5 9 -
Otto Porter Jr. 19 0-4 0-3 0-0 1 2 1 0 0 0 -
Gary Payton II 17 3-5 1-2 0-0 4 1 0 0 7 7 -
Juan Toscano-Anderson 12 1-1 0-0 2-4 2 1 0 1 4 7 -
Jonathan Kuminga 12 4-7 0-1 1-2 3 0 1 0 9 6 -
Nemanja Bjelica 11 4-5 2-3 0-2 3 1 1 0 10 10 -
Moses Moody 4 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 2 2 -
Jeff Dowtin 4 2-3 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 4 1 -

* = starter