Model Predictions
| Model | San Antonio Spurs | Phoenix Suns | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 44.6% | 55.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 29.0% | 71.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 25.9% | 74.1% | +5.8 | ✓ (1.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 40.4% | 59.6% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 25.8% | 74.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 27.2% | 72.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 27.2% | 72.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 30.6% | 69.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Phoenix Suns +4 (108-104). Predictions use season-end ratings.
San Antonio Spurs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dejounte Murray * | 33 | 7-12 | 2-2 | 1-2 | 6 | 14 | 2 | 0 | 17 | - | - | |
| Jakob Poeltl * | 32 | 7-11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 14 | - | - | |
| Keldon Johnson * | 31 | 4-10 | 1-3 | 4-6 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| Doug McDermott * | 25 | 5-9 | 3-5 | 1-1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| Derrick White * | 25 | 4-12 | 1-8 | 3-5 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 12 | - | - | |
| Bryn Forbes | 23 | 6-13 | 1-2 | 2-3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 15 | - | - | |
| Lonnie Walker IV | 19 | 2-6 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Joshua Primo | 17 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 5 | - | - | |
| Tre Jones | 14 | 1-8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Thaddeus Young | 7 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Drew Eubanks | 7 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - |
Phoenix Suns
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mikal Bridges * | 36 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Deandre Ayton * | 35 | 7-13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 14 | - | - | |
| Chris Paul * | 35 | 9-18 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 3 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 21 | - | - | |
| Jae Crowder * | 30 | 7-14 | 4-10 | 1-2 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 19 | - | - | |
| Landry Shamet * | 25 | 2-9 | 1-3 | 6-7 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Cameron Johnson | 28 | 5-14 | 2-7 | 1-1 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 13 | - | - | |
| Cameron Payne | 17 | 3-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| JaVale McGee | 12 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| Elfrid Payton | 12 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Ish Wainright | 5 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter