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2021-12-07

Model Predictions

Model Cleveland Cavaliers Milwaukee Bucks Spread Result
Elo 58.0% 42.0% -
Bradley-Terry 46.7% 53.3% -
Margin 54.3% 45.7% -0.9 (8.9 off)
Pythagorean 45.5% 54.5% -
Efficiency 44.2% 55.8% -
Adjusted Efficiency 41.7% 58.3% -
Log Adjusted 41.7% 58.3% -
Points Off/Def 39.0% 61.0% -

Actual: Milwaukee Bucks +8 (112-104). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Cleveland Cavaliers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jarrett Allen * 38 10-12 0-0 5-5 9 0 0 2 25 - -
Lauri Markkanen * 34 7-15 4-9 2-2 7 2 0 1 20 - -
Darius Garland * 34 3-12 1-3 3-3 3 9 0 0 10 - -
Evan Mobley * 31 3-10 1-4 5-6 6 2 1 0 12 - -
Isaac Okoro * 18 0-6 0-3 0-0 3 0 2 0 0 - -
Ricky Rubio 27 2-9 1-4 2-2 4 9 0 0 7 - -
Cedi Osman 25 3-11 1-8 2-2 0 2 3 1 9 - -
Kevin Love 18 5-11 5-11 0-0 4 3 0 0 15 - -
Lamar Stevens 11 2-4 2-4 0-0 3 0 2 0 6 - -

Milwaukee Bucks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jrue Holiday * 36 9-15 2-3 0-0 7 8 2 1 20 - -
Khris Middleton * 35 7-16 0-4 7-8 3 8 0 0 21 - -
Bobby Portis * 30 4-12 2-7 0-0 16 3 0 1 10 - -
Giannis Antetokounmpo * 27 9-19 3-3 6-7 12 2 0 1 27 - -
Grayson Allen * 25 2-7 2-5 0-0 1 0 1 2 6 - -
Pat Connaughton 28 3-4 3-4 3-3 4 0 0 0 12 - -
DeMarcus Cousins 17 2-7 0-3 3-4 6 0 2 0 7 - -
Wesley Matthews 14 1-2 1-2 0-2 2 0 2 0 3 - -
Rodney Hood 12 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 - -
Javonte Smart 9 3-3 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 6 - -

* = starter