Model Predictions
| Model | Denver Nuggets | Chicago Bulls | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 63.8% | 36.2% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 53.0% | 47.0% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 57.8% | 42.2% | -1.7 | ✗ (13.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 49.4% | 50.6% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 57.7% | 42.3% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 53.0% | 47.0% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 53.0% | 47.0% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 47.6% | 52.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Chicago Bulls +12 (109-97). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Denver Nuggets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aaron Gordon * | 38 | 7-16 | 2-6 | 2-4 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 9 | - | |
| Nikola Jokic * | 36 | 6-17 | 1-5 | 4-6 | 12 | 15 | 2 | 0 | 17 | 29 | - | |
| Will Barton * | 35 | 8-20 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 6 | - | |
| Monte Morris * | 35 | 8-13 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 19 | 18 | - | |
| Jeff Green * | 31 | 5-9 | 1-1 | 3-3 | 13 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 19 | - | |
| Facundo Campazzo | 20 | 0-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - | |
| Zeke Nnaji | 14 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - | |
| Davon Reed | 12 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | |
| JaMychal Green | 10 | 1-8 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -3 | - | |
| Markus Howard | 1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - | |
| Petr Cornelie | 1 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - | |
| Vlatko Cancar | 1 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
Chicago Bulls
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ayo Dosunmu * | 41 | 4-6 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 6 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 20 | - | |
| Lonzo Ball * | 39 | 7-15 | 4-8 | 2-3 | 10 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 20 | 23 | - | |
| Zach LaVine * | 38 | 13-23 | 3-9 | 3-4 | 3 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 32 | 21 | - | |
| Nikola Vucevic * | 34 | 8-24 | 3-8 | 1-2 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 20 | 10 | - | |
| Derrick Jones Jr. * | 27 | 5-12 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 11 | - | |
| Troy Brown Jr. | 23 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 2-3 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 9 | - | |
| Matt Thomas | 19 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | - | |
| Tony Bradley | 12 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 9 | - | |
| Devon Dotson | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - | |
| Marko Simonovic | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter