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2021-12-07

Model Predictions

Model Washington Wizards Indiana Pacers Spread Result
Elo 37.0% 63.0% -
Bradley-Terry 31.0% 69.0% -
Margin 20.9% 79.1% +7.3 (1.3 off)
Pythagorean 47.1% 52.9% -
Efficiency 47.7% 52.3% -
Adjusted Efficiency 45.6% 54.4% -
Log Adjusted 45.6% 54.4% -
Points Off/Def 43.0% 57.0% -

Actual: Indiana Pacers +6 (116-110). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Washington Wizards

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Bradley Beal * 39 12-19 1-3 9-10 2 4 0 0 34 - -
Kyle Kuzma * 38 6-12 2-4 0-0 4 2 1 1 14 - -
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope * 30 3-11 2-3 0-0 3 4 1 0 8 - -
Aaron Holiday * 21 5-9 0-1 1-2 1 5 3 0 11 - -
Daniel Gafford * 20 7-8 0-0 0-1 8 0 0 0 14 - -
Montrezl Harrell 25 4-5 0-0 3-4 5 2 3 1 11 - -
Raul Neto 22 1-6 0-1 4-4 2 5 1 0 6 - -
Corey Kispert 19 4-6 2-2 0-0 2 0 1 0 10 - -
Deni Avdija 16 1-4 0-0 0-0 3 3 1 0 2 - -
Davis Bertans 3 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -
Anthony Gill 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

Indiana Pacers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Malcolm Brogdon * 35 6-13 0-2 5-5 6 8 0 0 17 - -
Domantas Sabonis * 35 11-15 0-1 8-8 10 6 3 1 30 - -
Caris LeVert * 33 9-18 1-2 0-0 0 2 1 3 19 - -
Myles Turner * 29 2-5 0-3 1-1 7 1 0 4 5 - -
Chris Duarte * 25 4-8 1-4 4-4 5 1 4 0 13 - -
Oshae Brissett 28 4-6 3-3 1-2 8 1 0 1 12 - -
Kelan Martin 19 2-5 2-3 0-0 3 1 1 1 6 - -
Jeremy Lamb 18 3-8 2-4 2-2 1 1 1 0 10 - -
Brad Wanamaker 12 2-4 0-1 0-0 0 4 0 0 4 - -

* = starter