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2021-12-07

Model Predictions

Model Oklahoma City Thunder Detroit Pistons Spread Result
Elo 39.2% 60.8% -
Bradley-Terry 58.0% 42.0% -
Margin 67.3% 32.7% -4.0 (7.0 off)
Pythagorean 46.0% 54.0% -
Efficiency 45.8% 54.2% -
Adjusted Efficiency 45.3% 54.7% -
Log Adjusted 45.2% 54.8% -
Points Off/Def 41.6% 58.4% -

Actual: Detroit Pistons -11 (103-114). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Oklahoma City Thunder

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Luguentz Dort * 37 9-19 5-10 5-5 2 0 2 2 28 - -
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander * 37 9-20 0-2 12-15 2 13 0 2 30 - -
Josh Giddey * 30 5-6 0-1 2-2 0 5 1 0 12 - -
Darius Bazley * 29 3-5 0-1 1-2 8 0 2 3 7 - -
Jeremiah Robinson-Earl * 17 1-5 0-2 0-0 8 0 0 0 2 - -
Kenrich Williams 26 5-8 1-1 1-2 3 3 4 2 12 - -
Derrick Favors 16 3-4 0-0 0-0 5 1 0 1 6 - -
Mike Muscala 15 3-6 2-5 0-0 3 0 1 0 8 - -
Tre Mann 13 2-4 1-1 2-2 3 0 0 0 7 - -
Aleksej Pokusevski 11 1-4 0-1 0-2 6 0 0 1 2 - -
Ty Jerome 3 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

Detroit Pistons

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Saddiq Bey * 40 5-16 3-8 2-2 7 2 2 0 15 - -
Cade Cunningham * 36 11-24 6-11 0-0 11 5 2 0 28 - -
Jerami Grant * 35 9-16 1-4 1-1 6 5 0 2 20 - -
Isaiah Stewart * 29 2-3 0-0 0-0 9 1 0 3 4 - -
Killian Hayes * 27 3-9 2-7 1-1 2 5 1 1 9 - -
Saben Lee 20 3-9 2-6 1-2 3 3 2 1 9 - -
Frank Jackson 17 2-6 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 4 - -
Trey Lyles 14 2-7 1-2 0-0 6 0 0 0 5 - -
Josh Jackson 14 3-5 1-2 0-0 3 0 1 0 7 - -
Luka Garza 4 1-4 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 0 2 - -

* = starter