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2021-12-06

Model Predictions

Model New Orleans Pelicans Houston Rockets Spread Result
Elo 22.4% 77.6% -
Bradley-Terry 35.4% 64.6% -
Margin 27.8% 72.2% +5.2 (4.8 off)
Pythagorean 58.2% 41.8% -
Efficiency 72.9% 27.1% -
Adjusted Efficiency 70.8% 29.2% -
Log Adjusted 70.8% 29.2% -
Points Off/Def 60.3% 39.7% -

Actual: Houston Rockets +10 (118-108). Predictions use season-end ratings.

New Orleans Pelicans

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Brandon Ingram * 37 15-28 3-10 7-8 5 4 1 1 40 - -
Devonte' Graham * 33 3-13 3-11 0-0 3 4 1 0 9 - -
Jonas Valanciunas * 31 7-11 0-1 3-6 10 3 1 3 17 - -
Garrett Temple * 31 2-6 1-3 0-0 6 0 2 1 5 - -
Herbert Jones * 22 2-4 0-0 1-1 1 0 1 3 5 - -
Nickeil Alexander-Walker 27 3-13 3-8 1-2 1 5 0 1 10 - -
Trey Murphy III 15 0-6 0-4 0-0 6 0 1 0 0 - -
Willy Hernangomez 15 4-7 0-0 2-4 14 1 2 0 10 - -
Tomas Satoransky 12 1-1 0-0 2-2 3 0 0 0 4 - -
Kira Lewis Jr. 11 3-5 0-1 2-2 1 2 0 0 8 - -

Houston Rockets

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Eric Gordon * 33 7-14 3-7 6-6 0 5 0 0 23 - -
Jae'Sean Tate * 32 5-8 1-2 0-0 5 7 0 0 11 - -
Christian Wood * 31 7-13 5-6 4-8 8 2 0 2 23 - -
Garrison Mathews * 31 4-6 4-6 1-1 7 0 0 0 13 - -
Daniel Theis * 16 4-6 2-4 2-2 3 1 0 0 12 - -
Armoni Brooks 21 1-7 0-5 0-0 2 1 2 0 2 - -
Danuel House Jr. 20 1-3 0-2 4-4 2 3 0 0 6 - -
Alperen Sengun 16 3-7 0-2 4-4 4 1 1 1 10 - -
D.J. Augustin 16 3-8 2-5 1-2 3 4 0 0 9 - -
Kenyon Martin Jr. 15 4-6 0-0 1-2 6 0 0 0 9 - -
Josh Christopher 4 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

* = starter