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2021-12-05

Model Predictions

Model Charlotte Hornets Atlanta Hawks Spread Result
Elo 28.8% 71.2% -
Bradley-Terry 29.8% 70.2% -
Margin 25.7% 74.3% +5.8 (8.8 off)
Pythagorean 44.5% 55.5% -
Efficiency 41.5% 58.5% -
Adjusted Efficiency 39.8% 60.2% -
Log Adjusted 39.6% 60.4% -
Points Off/Def 38.4% 61.6% -

Actual: Atlanta Hawks -3 (127-130). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Charlotte Hornets

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Miles Bridges * 40 11-15 4-6 6-6 4 4 3 1 32 - -
Kelly Oubre Jr. * 38 11-17 6-10 0-4 3 2 1 0 28 - -
Gordon Hayward * 33 5-15 1-5 7-8 5 3 0 0 18 - -
Ish Smith * 32 8-14 2-4 0-0 5 7 1 0 18 - -
Nick Richards * 7 1-1 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 1 2 - -
P.J. Washington 37 4-9 1-4 4-6 11 1 2 1 13 - -
Cody Martin 32 6-11 3-6 4-4 6 4 2 0 19 - -
JT Thor 12 0-3 0-2 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 - -
James Bouknight 5 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

Atlanta Hawks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Timothe Luwawu-Cabarrot * 38 5-10 2-5 0-0 4 2 0 2 12 - -
John Collins * 37 12-22 2-4 5-5 12 4 0 0 31 - -
Trae Young * 36 9-22 4-10 3-4 4 15 1 0 25 - -
Kevin Huerter * 33 9-14 7-11 3-3 2 3 0 0 28 - -
Clint Capela * 31 4-7 0-0 0-2 14 0 0 0 8 - -
Danilo Gallinari 27 7-12 1-4 2-2 4 3 0 0 17 - -
Delon Wright 15 1-1 1-1 0-0 2 0 1 1 3 - -
Lou Williams 15 1-5 0-2 1-2 2 1 2 0 3 - -
Solomon Hill 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 - -

* = starter