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2021-12-05

Model Predictions

Model Boston Celtics Portland Trail Blazers Spread Result
Elo 49.1% 50.9% -
Bradley-Terry 68.3% 31.7% -
Margin 85.8% 14.2% -9.9 (18.1 off)
Pythagorean 68.3% 31.7% -
Efficiency 88.0% 12.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 87.1% 12.9% -
Log Adjusted 87.1% 12.9% -
Points Off/Def 76.5% 23.5% -

Actual: Portland Trail Blazers -28 (117-145). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Boston Celtics

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Grant Williams * 32 4-9 1-4 1-1 4 1 1 2 10 - -
Dennis Schroder * 31 10-16 5-7 6-6 4 8 1 0 31 - -
Jayson Tatum * 30 9-17 4-6 9-10 10 4 0 0 31 - -
Marcus Smart * 23 6-10 1-3 4-4 2 4 0 0 17 - -
Robert Williams III * 21 2-2 0-0 1-2 3 1 0 3 5 - -
Aaron Nesmith 22 3-6 3-4 2-2 3 3 1 0 11 - -
Enes Freedom 22 4-6 0-0 1-2 15 0 0 2 9 - -
Payton Pritchard 18 6-12 5-10 2-2 2 3 1 0 19 - -
Josh Richardson 17 2-5 1-2 0-0 0 2 0 0 5 - -
Juancho Hernangomez 12 1-1 1-1 0-0 3 0 0 0 3 - -
Bruno Fernando 4 2-3 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 4 - -
Jabari Parker 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

Portland Trail Blazers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Dennis Smith Jr. * 36 7-14 1-3 6-8 4 6 3 0 21 - -
CJ McCollum * 34 8-21 3-9 5-7 1 6 1 0 24 - -
Norman Powell * 27 2-8 0-2 4-6 0 4 0 0 8 - -
Robert Covington * 22 4-11 1-6 0-0 2 0 0 0 9 - -
Jusuf Nurkic * 19 6-9 0-1 6-7 5 1 1 1 18 - -
Larry Nance Jr. 25 4-5 1-2 0-0 5 1 2 0 9 - -
Ben McLemore 22 2-6 1-4 0-0 2 1 0 0 5 - -
Cody Zeller 16 4-8 0-0 2-2 8 1 0 0 10 - -
Tony Snell 10 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 1 0 - -
Trendon Watford 5 2-3 0-0 2-2 1 0 0 0 6 - -
Greg Brown III 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -
CJ Elleby 5 2-3 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 4 - -
Keljin Blevins 5 1-1 1-1 0-0 0 1 0 0 3 - -

* = starter