Model Predictions
| Model | San Antonio Spurs | Golden State Warriors | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 54.4% | 45.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 29.2% | 70.8% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 21.6% | 78.4% | +7.1 | ✗ (12.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 41.4% | 58.6% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 28.0% | 72.0% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 27.3% | 72.7% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 27.3% | 72.7% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 30.6% | 69.4% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Golden State Warriors -5 (107-112). Predictions use season-end ratings.
San Antonio Spurs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Keldon Johnson * | 38 | 6-13 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 15 | - | - | |
| Dejounte Murray * | 36 | 10-21 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 12 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 23 | - | - | |
| Derrick White * | 36 | 8-16 | 2-8 | 7-8 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 25 | - | - | |
| Jakob Poeltl * | 31 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 6 | - | - | |
| Doug McDermott * | 25 | 5-9 | 2-5 | 1-1 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 13 | - | - | |
| Lonnie Walker IV | 30 | 7-13 | 2-6 | 5-6 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 21 | - | - | |
| Thaddeus Young | 14 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Tre Jones | 14 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Bryn Forbes | 14 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 | - | - |
Golden State Warriors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stephen Curry * | 36 | 7-28 | 5-17 | 8-9 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 27 | - | - | |
| Draymond Green * | 32 | 4-7 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 8 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 9 | - | - | |
| Andrew Wiggins * | 30 | 3-9 | 2-3 | 3-4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | - | - | |
| Jordan Poole * | 23 | 6-9 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 15 | - | - | |
| Kevon Looney * | 13 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Juan Toscano-Anderson | 32 | 6-12 | 0-2 | 1-4 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| Damion Lee | 30 | 6-12 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| Chris Chiozza | 14 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Nemanja Bjelica | 13 | 4-6 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Gary Payton II | 12 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | - | - |
* = starter