Model Predictions
| Model | Memphis Grizzlies | Dallas Mavericks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 28.7% | 71.3% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 46.6% | 53.4% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 49.8% | 50.2% | +0.1 | ✗ (7.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 48.8% | 51.2% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 54.5% | 45.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 50.4% | 49.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 50.3% | 49.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 46.1% | 53.9% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Dallas Mavericks -7 (90-97). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Memphis Grizzlies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyus Jones * | 34 | 5-9 | 0-2 | 6-6 | 6 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 16 | - | - | |
| Desmond Bane * | 33 | 12-20 | 4-6 | 1-1 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 29 | - | - | |
| Dillon Brooks * | 29 | 5-12 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Jaren Jackson Jr. * | 29 | 5-11 | 2-6 | 1-4 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| Steven Adams * | 27 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 3-7 | 13 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| De'Anthony Melton | 26 | 4-10 | 2-6 | 1-4 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 11 | - | - | |
| Xavier Tillman | 20 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 4 | - | - | |
| John Konchar | 17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Santi Aldama | 12 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Killian Tillie | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dorian Finney-Smith * | 37 | 5-12 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 14 | - | - | |
| Jalen Brunson * | 37 | 7-21 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 3 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 15 | - | - | |
| Maxi Kleber * | 32 | 2-8 | 2-8 | 1-2 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Reggie Bullock * | 27 | 2-9 | 1-7 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Dwight Powell * | 23 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 1-1 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Tim Hardaway Jr. | 31 | 7-18 | 5-9 | 10-14 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 29 | - | - | |
| Sterling Brown | 14 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Trey Burke | 12 | 3-9 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Frank Ntilikina | 12 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Boban Marjanovic | 10 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - |
* = starter