Model Predictions
| Model | Denver Nuggets | New York Knicks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 66.7% | 33.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 48.5% | 51.5% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 45.0% | 55.0% | +1.1 | ✗ (15.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 48.3% | 51.7% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 53.6% | 46.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 50.8% | 49.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 50.8% | 49.2% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 46.6% | 53.4% | - | ✗ |
Actual: New York Knicks -14 (99-113). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Denver Nuggets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Barton * | 30 | 5-13 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 12 | - | |
| Nikola Jokic * | 26 | 14-19 | 3-7 | 1-1 | 11 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 32 | 29 | - | |
| Monte Morris * | 26 | 4-8 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 8 | - | |
| Jeff Green * | 25 | 4-7 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 15 | - | |
| Aaron Gordon * | 24 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 8 | - | |
| Zeke Nnaji | 33 | 7-13 | 5-9 | 2-2 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 21 | 18 | - | |
| Facundo Campazzo | 26 | 3-8 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 7 | - | |
| Davon Reed | 24 | 3-4 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 13 | - | |
| JaMychal Green | 18 | 2-6 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 8 | - | |
| Vlatko Cancar | 3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
New York Knicks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Julius Randle * | 35 | 9-18 | 2-7 | 4-5 | 7 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 24 | 21 | - | |
| Evan Fournier * | 35 | 6-14 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 15 | 10 | - | |
| Alec Burks * | 27 | 2-6 | 2-3 | 5-6 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 11 | 8 | - | |
| RJ Barrett * | 24 | 5-13 | 1-7 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 6 | - | |
| Mitchell Robinson * | 21 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 9 | - | |
| Derrick Rose | 23 | 5-10 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 9 | - | |
| Obi Toppin | 20 | 2-8 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 8 | - | |
| Immanuel Quickley | 19 | 1-7 | 0-3 | 1-1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -2 | - | |
| Nerlens Noel | 18 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 10 | - | |
| Quentin Grimes | 12 | 2-4 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 5 | - |
* = starter