Model Predictions
| Model | Phoenix Suns | Golden State Warriors | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 51.2% | 48.8% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 43.1% | 56.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 35.2% | 64.8% | +3.4 | ✓ (18.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 48.0% | 52.0% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 49.6% | 50.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 47.1% | 52.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 47.1% | 52.9% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 43.3% | 56.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Golden State Warriors +22 (118-96). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Phoenix Suns
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chris Paul * | 32 | 4-8 | 0-2 | 4-6 | 3 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 16 | - | |
| Jae Crowder * | 31 | 3-8 | 1-5 | 4-5 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 11 | 14 | - | |
| Deandre Ayton * | 31 | 7-16 | 0-0 | 9-11 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 23 | 17 | - | |
| Mikal Bridges * | 30 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 6 | - | |
| Landry Shamet * | 26 | 3-8 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 7 | - | |
| Cameron Johnson | 32 | 3-8 | 2-5 | 4-5 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 11 | - | |
| Cameron Payne | 25 | 3-17 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | -1 | - | |
| Ish Wainright | 9 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - | |
| JaVale McGee | 8 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 8 | - | |
| Elfrid Payton | 7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - | |
| Jalen Smith | 3 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 5 | - |
Golden State Warriors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stephen Curry * | 33 | 8-20 | 6-11 | 1-2 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 23 | 13 | - | |
| Jordan Poole * | 31 | 5-12 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 14 | 9 | - | |
| Draymond Green * | 30 | 4-6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 9 | 9 | 6 | 3 | 9 | 30 | - | |
| Andrew Wiggins * | 29 | 8-16 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 19 | 10 | - | |
| Kevon Looney * | 14 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 7 | - | |
| Gary Payton II | 26 | 7-9 | 3-5 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 19 | 17 | - | |
| Juan Toscano-Anderson | 26 | 7-8 | 1-2 | 2-3 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 17 | 21 | - | |
| Otto Porter Jr. | 24 | 1-5 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | - | |
| Nemanja Bjelica | 15 | 3-8 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 10 | - | |
| Damion Lee | 7 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | - |
* = starter