Model Predictions
| Model | New Orleans Pelicans | Dallas Mavericks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 25.0% | 75.0% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 28.8% | 71.2% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 21.3% | 78.7% | +7.2 | ✗ (23.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 40.8% | 59.2% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 32.7% | 67.3% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 29.7% | 70.3% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 29.6% | 70.4% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 31.8% | 68.2% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Dallas Mavericks -16 (91-107). Predictions use season-end ratings.
New Orleans Pelicans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brandon Ingram * | 37 | 7-20 | 1-4 | 9-11 | 8 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 24 | - | - | |
| Herbert Jones * | 35 | 5-11 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 13 | - | - | |
| Devonte' Graham * | 31 | 5-11 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| Jonas Valanciunas * | 25 | 5-7 | 0-2 | 4-7 | 11 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| Garrett Temple * | 23 | 1-5 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 5 | - | - | |
| Nickeil Alexander-Walker | 26 | 4-11 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Willy Hernangomez | 22 | 4-10 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 14 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 12 | - | - | |
| Tomas Satoransky | 14 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Kira Lewis Jr. | 11 | 2-6 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | - | - | |
| Trey Murphy III | 9 | 3-4 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Naji Marshall | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luka Doncic * | 34 | 7-20 | 0-6 | 7-9 | 10 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 21 | - | - | |
| Dorian Finney-Smith * | 32 | 3-7 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8 | - | - | |
| Maxi Kleber * | 31 | 4-8 | 4-8 | 1-2 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| Reggie Bullock * | 27 | 1-4 | 1-4 | 1-1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Dwight Powell * | 19 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Jalen Brunson | 32 | 7-11 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 16 | - | - | |
| Tim Hardaway Jr. | 24 | 3-11 | 2-6 | 4-6 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Sterling Brown | 16 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Trey Burke | 8 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Boban Marjanovic | 7 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | - | - | |
| Eugene Omoruyi | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Josh Green | 2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Moses Brown | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - |
* = starter