Model Predictions
| Model | Detroit Pistons | Phoenix Suns | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 46.8% | 53.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 28.8% | 71.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 24.2% | 75.8% | +6.3 | ✓ (4.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 28.5% | 71.5% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 8.0% | 92.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 10.3% | 89.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 10.3% | 89.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 18.2% | 81.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Phoenix Suns +11 (114-103). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Detroit Pistons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jerami Grant * | 38 | 10-19 | 2-3 | 12-14 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 34 | - | - | |
| Isaiah Stewart * | 35 | 6-7 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 14 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 12 | - | - | |
| Killian Hayes * | 32 | 4-9 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 10 | - | - | |
| Cade Cunningham * | 31 | 8-15 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 19 | - | - | |
| Saddiq Bey * | 31 | 2-9 | 2-6 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Hamidou Diallo | 21 | 2-5 | 1-1 | 0-2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Frank Jackson | 18 | 3-9 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Cory Joseph | 16 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | - | - | |
| Trey Lyles | 11 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Luka Garza | 4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - | - |
Phoenix Suns
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mikal Bridges * | 40 | 8-14 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 18 | - | - | |
| Chris Paul * | 33 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 1 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Deandre Ayton * | 32 | 7-11 | 0-0 | 3-7 | 12 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 17 | - | - | |
| Landry Shamet * | 31 | 5-11 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| Jae Crowder * | 24 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Cameron Johnson | 27 | 7-11 | 4-6 | 1-2 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 19 | - | - | |
| Cameron Payne | 21 | 8-14 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 19 | - | - | |
| JaVale McGee | 15 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | - | - | |
| Elfrid Payton | 9 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Ish Wainright | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter