Model Predictions
| Model | Oklahoma City Thunder | Memphis Grizzlies | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 78.4% | 21.6% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 47.1% | 52.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 46.3% | 53.7% | +0.8 | ✓ (72.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 28.5% | 71.5% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 9.5% | 90.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 10.6% | 89.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 10.5% | 89.5% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 17.7% | 82.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Memphis Grizzlies +73 (152-79). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Oklahoma City Thunder
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ty Jerome * | 35 | 5-14 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Tre Mann * | 26 | 5-11 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | - | - | |
| Luguentz Dort * | 25 | 3-8 | 2-6 | 7-8 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 15 | - | - | |
| Jeremiah Robinson-Earl * | 23 | 0-7 | 0-4 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Darius Bazley * | 15 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | - | - | |
| Paul Watson | 32 | 1-8 | 1-6 | 1-2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | - | - | |
| Isaiah Roby | 24 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 6-6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Gabriel Deck | 21 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Aleksej Pokusevski | 19 | 2-7 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | - | - | |
| Mike Muscala | 16 | 4-8 | 3-7 | 1-1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | - | - |
Memphis Grizzlies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Steven Adams * | 21 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 9 | - | - | |
| Jaren Jackson Jr. * | 20 | 9-11 | 6-7 | 3-3 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 27 | - | - | |
| Tyus Jones * | 20 | 4-7 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 6 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Desmond Bane * | 17 | 1-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 2 | - | - | |
| Dillon Brooks * | 15 | 5-9 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Santi Aldama | 28 | 8-16 | 0-3 | 2-3 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 18 | - | - | |
| John Konchar | 25 | 7-8 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 17 | - | - | |
| Xavier Tillman | 24 | 4-7 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 11 | - | - | |
| De'Anthony Melton | 21 | 8-10 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 6 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 19 | - | - | |
| Killian Tillie | 15 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Brandon Clarke | 14 | 5-8 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 11 | - | - | |
| Jarrett Culver | 14 | 5-8 | 1-2 | 0-2 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 11 | - | - |
* = starter