Model Predictions
| Model | Milwaukee Bucks | Toronto Raptors | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 34.1% | 65.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 49.6% | 50.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 49.3% | 50.7% | +0.2 | ✓ (3.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 48.0% | 52.0% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 51.9% | 48.1% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 50.6% | 49.4% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 50.6% | 49.4% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 45.9% | 54.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Toronto Raptors +4 (97-93). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Milwaukee Bucks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jrue Holiday * | 37 | 10-19 | 4-5 | 2-5 | 6 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 26 | - | - | |
| Khris Middleton * | 35 | 8-20 | 2-5 | 4-5 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 22 | - | - | |
| Grayson Allen * | 32 | 4-10 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Pat Connaughton * | 30 | 2-7 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Bobby Portis * | 30 | 3-11 | 1-3 | 8-10 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 15 | - | - | |
| George Hill | 27 | 1-5 | 1-5 | 2-3 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Sandro Mamukelashvili | 22 | 4-8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Thanasis Antetokounmpo | 10 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | - | - | |
| Rodney Hood | 8 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Jordan Nwora | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
Toronto Raptors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scottie Barnes * | 38 | 5-9 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 13 | - | - | |
| Fred VanVleet * | 38 | 9-17 | 5-10 | 6-6 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 29 | - | - | |
| Pascal Siakam * | 35 | 9-18 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 8 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 20 | - | - | |
| Gary Trent Jr. * | 34 | 3-16 | 2-10 | 0-0 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 8 | - | - | |
| Precious Achiuwa * | 34 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 6 | - | - | |
| Svi Mykhailiuk | 18 | 3-8 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Dalano Banton | 13 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Chris Boucher | 11 | 2-6 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | - | - | |
| Yuta Watanabe | 10 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 0-2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Isaac Bonga | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter