Model Predictions
| Model | Houston Rockets | Oklahoma City Thunder | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 21.9% | 78.1% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 28.6% | 71.4% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 21.4% | 78.6% | +7.1 | ✗ (11.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 47.1% | 52.9% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 44.7% | 55.3% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 46.0% | 54.0% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 46.1% | 53.9% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 42.4% | 57.6% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Oklahoma City Thunder -4 (110-114). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Houston Rockets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Garrison Mathews * | 36 | 4-7 | 4-7 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| Jae'Sean Tate * | 35 | 11-15 | 1-2 | 9-10 | 10 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 32 | - | - | |
| Eric Gordon * | 32 | 3-12 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Kevin Porter Jr. * | 13 | 3-7 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Christian Wood * | 9 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | - | - | |
| Armoni Brooks | 29 | 7-10 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 18 | - | - | |
| Daniel Theis | 21 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | - | - | |
| Kenyon Martin Jr. | 18 | 6-8 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Danuel House Jr. | 15 | 1-6 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | - | - | |
| Josh Christopher | 15 | 3-8 | 1-2 | 3-3 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Alperen Sengun | 13 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 5 | - | - |
Oklahoma City Thunder
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shai Gilgeous-Alexander * | 37 | 12-26 | 1-8 | 14-16 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 39 | - | - | |
| Luguentz Dort * | 36 | 7-13 | 4-8 | 1-2 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 19 | - | - | |
| Jeremiah Robinson-Earl * | 33 | 5-9 | 0-2 | 2-4 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Tre Mann * | 32 | 4-13 | 2-7 | 1-1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Darius Bazley * | 25 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 4 | - | - | |
| Paul Watson | 18 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Ty Jerome | 15 | 5-7 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Isaiah Roby | 14 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 2-3 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 6 | - | - | |
| Aaron Wiggins | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Aleksej Pokusevski | 8 | 2-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | - | - | |
| Theo Maledon | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - | - |
* = starter