Model Predictions
| Model | Dallas Mavericks | New Orleans Pelicans | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 60.1% | 39.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 58.2% | 41.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 63.8% | 36.2% | -3.1 | ✓ (28.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 53.2% | 46.8% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 61.3% | 38.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 64.3% | 35.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 64.4% | 35.6% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 55.4% | 44.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: New Orleans Pelicans -32 (107-139). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luka Doncic * | 27 | 11-16 | 2-5 | 4-4 | 4 | 14 | 1 | 0 | 28 | - | - | |
| Kristaps Porzingis * | 27 | 9-15 | 1-6 | 1-1 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 20 | - | - | |
| Dorian Finney-Smith * | 24 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Reggie Bullock * | 18 | 2-3 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Dwight Powell * | 11 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Tim Hardaway Jr. | 25 | 6-9 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 16 | - | - | |
| Jalen Brunson | 24 | 7-9 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 17 | - | - | |
| Sterling Brown | 19 | 3-4 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Maxi Kleber | 16 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Trey Burke | 16 | 4-7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Boban Marjanovic | 10 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Eugene Omoruyi | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Josh Green | 5 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| JaQuori McLaughlin | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Moses Brown | 3 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - |
New Orleans Pelicans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brandon Ingram * | 30 | 11-17 | 3-5 | 4-4 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 29 | - | - | |
| Devonte' Graham * | 29 | 5-12 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 1 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| Herbert Jones * | 26 | 1-8 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | - | - | |
| Jonas Valanciunas * | 24 | 1-8 | 0-4 | 4-4 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Garrett Temple * | 21 | 3-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Nickeil Alexander-Walker | 27 | 5-13 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Trey Murphy III | 17 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Kira Lewis Jr. | 14 | 5-6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Tomas Satoransky | 14 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Willy Hernangomez | 12 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Naji Marshall | 6 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Jaxson Hayes | 6 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Jose Alvarado | 5 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 2-3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 7 | - | - |
* = starter