Model Predictions
| Model | Cleveland Cavaliers | Miami Heat | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 55.7% | 44.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 50.2% | 49.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 54.5% | 45.5% | -1.0 | ✓ (25.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 43.7% | 56.3% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 39.2% | 60.8% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 36.1% | 63.9% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 36.1% | 63.9% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 35.7% | 64.3% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Miami Heat -26 (85-111). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Cleveland Cavaliers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Darius Garland * | 37 | 6-13 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 3 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 16 | - | - | |
| Evan Mobley * | 31 | 5-10 | 2-3 | 5-5 | 11 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 17 | - | - | |
| Jarrett Allen * | 30 | 7-8 | 0-0 | 5-5 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 19 | - | - | |
| Isaac Okoro * | 29 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 10 | - | - | |
| Lauri Markkanen * | 26 | 2-8 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Ricky Rubio | 25 | 1-5 | 0-3 | 4-5 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Lamar Stevens | 23 | 5-9 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 12 | - | - | |
| Kevin Love | 21 | 6-9 | 6-8 | 4-4 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 22 | - | - | |
| Kevin Pangos | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Dylan Windler | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Ed Davis | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | - | - | |
| Denzel Valentine | 3 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - |
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyler Herro * | 36 | 9-23 | 2-7 | 1-1 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 21 | - | - | |
| Dewayne Dedmon * | 30 | 5-13 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 13 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 11 | - | - | |
| Kyle Lowry * | 28 | 2-9 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| P.J. Tucker * | 23 | 2-6 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Duncan Robinson * | 20 | 0-7 | 0-6 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Gabe Vincent | 27 | 4-7 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Caleb Martin | 27 | 4-6 | 1-2 | 2-4 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Max Strus | 27 | 4-8 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| KZ Okpala | 14 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 4-6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | - | - | |
| Omer Yurtseven | 3 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | - | - |
* = starter