Model Predictions
| Model | Denver Nuggets | Orlando Magic | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 63.2% | 36.8% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 62.2% | 37.8% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 65.8% | 34.2% | -3.6 | ✗ (8.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 61.0% | 39.0% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 78.1% | 21.9% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 74.3% | 25.7% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 74.4% | 25.6% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 63.7% | 36.3% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Orlando Magic +5 (108-103). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Denver Nuggets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aaron Gordon * | 37 | 7-12 | 1-5 | 2-4 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 16 | - | |
| Nikola Jokic * | 36 | 7-19 | 0-5 | 4-5 | 15 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 18 | 22 | - | |
| Monte Morris * | 34 | 10-15 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 22 | 12 | - | |
| Will Barton * | 31 | 5-13 | 2-6 | 2-2 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 8 | - | |
| Jeff Green * | 28 | 2-5 | 2-3 | 3-4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 9 | - | |
| Facundo Campazzo | 27 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 12 | - | |
| Zeke Nnaji | 18 | 3-3 | 2-2 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 8 | - | |
| Markus Howard | 13 | 1-5 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | - | |
| JaMychal Green | 11 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 2 | - |
Orlando Magic
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cole Anthony * | 36 | 10-21 | 1-5 | 3-3 | 8 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 24 | 18 | - | |
| Gary Harris * | 34 | 4-10 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 11 | 9 | - | |
| Wendell Carter Jr. * | 32 | 8-11 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 15 | - | |
| Franz Wagner * | 32 | 6-9 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 15 | 18 | - | |
| Mo Bamba * | 27 | 4-9 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 10 | - | |
| Terrence Ross | 23 | 4-7 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 12 | - | |
| Chuma Okeke | 20 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 7 | - | |
| Moritz Wagner | 15 | 5-8 | 0-2 | 2-3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 8 | - | |
| R.J. Hampton | 11 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 1-4 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 9 | - | |
| Mychal Mulder | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter