Model Predictions
| Model | Atlanta Hawks | Indiana Pacers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 62.2% | 37.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 47.6% | 52.4% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 47.1% | 52.9% | +0.6 | ✗ (3.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 53.7% | 46.3% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 65.5% | 34.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 62.2% | 37.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 62.2% | 37.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 54.8% | 45.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Indiana Pacers -3 (111-114). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Atlanta Hawks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trae Young * | 37 | 13-27 | 3-10 | 4-4 | 8 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 33 | - | - | |
| John Collins * | 34 | 5-8 | 3-3 | 1-2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 14 | - | - | |
| Kevin Huerter * | 34 | 8-11 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 19 | - | - | |
| Clint Capela * | 32 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 8 | - | - | |
| Timothe Luwawu-Cabarrot * | 25 | 3-6 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | - | - | |
| Danilo Gallinari | 29 | 3-9 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Delon Wright | 17 | 4-6 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Lou Williams | 15 | 4-8 | 1-2 | 3-4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Solomon Hill | 13 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
Indiana Pacers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Domantas Sabonis * | 39 | 9-10 | 2-2 | 2-3 | 10 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 22 | - | - | |
| Malcolm Brogdon * | 36 | 10-20 | 1-6 | 6-8 | 6 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 27 | - | - | |
| Chris Duarte * | 35 | 5-13 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Myles Turner * | 34 | 6-9 | 3-6 | 2-2 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 17 | - | - | |
| Caris LeVert * | 28 | 3-12 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Oshae Brissett | 17 | 3-6 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 8 | - | - | |
| Brad Wanamaker | 16 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Kelan Martin | 13 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Jeremy Lamb | 11 | 4-8 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | - | - | |
| Torrey Craig | 3 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| T.J. McConnell | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter