🐻⬇️🏀

@
2021-12-01

Model Predictions

Model Golden State Warriors Phoenix Suns Spread Result
Elo 32.4% 67.6% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 42.6% 57.4% - ✓
Margin 46.9% 53.1% +0.7 ✓ (7.3 off)
Pythagorean 46.0% 54.0% - ✓
Efficiency 44.4% 55.6% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 46.9% 53.1% - ✓
Log Adjusted 46.9% 53.1% - ✓
Points Off/Def 43.1% 56.9% - ✓

Actual: Phoenix Suns +8 (104-96). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Golden State Warriors

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Stephen Curry * 35 4-21 3-14 1-1 3 2 1 1 12 - -
Jordan Poole * 34 9-15 6-12 4-5 5 3 2 1 28 - -
Andrew Wiggins * 33 4-12 0-1 2-3 3 2 1 1 10 - -
Draymond Green * 32 4-8 0-0 0-0 11 5 0 1 8 - -
Kevon Looney * 17 2-6 0-0 1-2 6 1 0 1 5 - -
Otto Porter Jr. 30 6-11 4-8 0-0 6 3 1 0 16 - -
Gary Payton II 15 4-6 0-2 0-0 7 1 1 0 8 - -
Nemanja Bjelica 15 1-4 0-2 2-3 6 2 0 0 4 - -
Juan Toscano-Anderson 12 1-2 0-0 0-0 1 2 1 0 2 - -
Chris Chiozza 12 1-1 1-1 0-0 3 4 0 0 3 - -
Jonathan Kuminga 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

Phoenix Suns

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Mikal Bridges * 41 1-4 0-0 0-0 2 3 4 1 2 - -
Chris Paul * 39 7-13 1-3 0-0 6 11 5 0 15 - -
Deandre Ayton * 34 11-19 0-0 2-4 11 2 1 2 24 - -
Jae Crowder * 28 5-11 4-9 0-2 6 1 1 0 14 - -
Devin Booker * 15 4-9 0-2 2-2 2 1 0 0 10 - -
Cameron Johnson 29 5-10 3-7 1-2 4 2 1 1 14 - -
Landry Shamet 23 3-9 2-7 1-1 1 3 0 0 9 - -
Cameron Payne 15 2-5 2-2 0-0 1 4 0 0 6 - -
JaVale McGee 8 4-4 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 8 - -
Elfrid Payton 4 1-3 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 2 - -

* = starter