Model Predictions
| Model | Washington Wizards | San Antonio Spurs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 8.2% | 91.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 29.9% | 70.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 19.1% | 80.9% | +8.0 | ✓ (9.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 41.2% | 58.8% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 33.3% | 66.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 33.8% | 66.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 33.7% | 66.3% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 34.8% | 65.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: San Antonio Spurs +17 (116-99). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Washington Wizards
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bradley Beal * | 35 | 8-21 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 2 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 18 | - | - | |
| Kyle Kuzma * | 32 | 5-9 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| Spencer Dinwiddie * | 30 | 6-10 | 2-4 | 2-4 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 16 | - | - | |
| Kentavious Caldwell-Pope * | 24 | 7-11 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 17 | - | - | |
| Daniel Gafford * | 22 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 11 | - | - | |
| Montrezl Harrell | 20 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 6 | - | - | |
| Deni Avdija | 20 | 1-6 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Raul Neto | 16 | 1-6 | 0-3 | 2-3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Aaron Holiday | 12 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Corey Kispert | 12 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Davis Bertans | 11 | 0-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Anthony Gill | 1 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - |
San Antonio Spurs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dejounte Murray * | 34 | 8-19 | 0-2 | 6-7 | 10 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 22 | - | - | |
| Keldon Johnson * | 34 | 6-8 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| Derrick White * | 32 | 10-21 | 3-7 | 1-1 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 24 | - | - | |
| Jakob Poeltl * | 24 | 7-11 | 0-0 | 0-3 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 14 | - | - | |
| Keita Bates-Diop * | 18 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 2-4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Lonnie Walker IV | 23 | 1-6 | 0-2 | 1-1 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | - | - | |
| Bryn Forbes | 18 | 4-6 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Tre Jones | 13 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Joshua Primo | 12 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Thaddeus Young | 12 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Drew Eubanks | 8 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - | - | |
| Joe Wieskamp | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Devontae Cacok | 1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Jock Landale | 1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - |
* = starter