Model Predictions
| Model | Cleveland Cavaliers | Dallas Mavericks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 54.7% | 45.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 51.4% | 48.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 56.0% | 44.0% | -1.3 | ✓ (16.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 44.4% | 55.6% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 43.5% | 56.5% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 36.3% | 63.7% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 36.2% | 63.8% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 36.1% | 63.9% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Dallas Mavericks -18 (96-114). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Cleveland Cavaliers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Evan Mobley * | 35 | 5-10 | 0-2 | 2-3 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 12 | - | - | |
| Jarrett Allen * | 34 | 12-17 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 14 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 28 | - | - | |
| Lauri Markkanen * | 33 | 9-15 | 5-9 | 1-1 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 24 | - | - | |
| Darius Garland * | 32 | 7-13 | 1-3 | 3-3 | 2 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 18 | - | - | |
| Isaac Okoro * | 26 | 4-6 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 10 | - | - | |
| Ricky Rubio | 28 | 3-11 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Kevin Love | 17 | 3-4 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Dylan Windler | 11 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Lamar Stevens | 7 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Kevin Pangos | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Denzel Valentine | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Ed Davis | 4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - |
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luka Doncic * | 33 | 9-21 | 7-11 | 0-4 | 10 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 25 | - | - | |
| Kristaps Porzingis * | 26 | 4-12 | 0-4 | 1-2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 9 | - | - | |
| Tim Hardaway Jr. * | 26 | 3-10 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 6 | - | - | |
| Dorian Finney-Smith * | 24 | 6-10 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| Moses Brown * | 10 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Maxi Kleber | 25 | 4-10 | 2-7 | 3-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13 | - | - | |
| Reggie Bullock | 22 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Jalen Brunson | 22 | 2-7 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Sterling Brown | 14 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Dwight Powell | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Trey Burke | 7 | 3-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Josh Green | 7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Boban Marjanovic | 7 | 4-5 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | - | - |
* = starter