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2021-11-30

Model Predictions

Model Indiana Pacers Minnesota Timberwolves Spread Result
Elo 13.2% 86.8% -
Bradley-Terry 29.9% 70.1% -
Margin 21.1% 78.9% +7.2 (5.2 off)
Pythagorean 39.0% 61.0% -
Efficiency 27.2% 72.8% -
Adjusted Efficiency 28.2% 71.8% -
Log Adjusted 28.2% 71.8% -
Points Off/Def 30.3% 69.7% -

Actual: Minnesota Timberwolves +2 (100-98). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Indiana Pacers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Malcolm Brogdon * 40 9-20 2-6 5-6 6 5 3 0 25 - -
Justin Holiday * 38 6-15 3-8 0-0 4 2 1 1 15 - -
Domantas Sabonis * 36 5-12 0-4 6-7 25 10 0 1 16 - -
Caris LeVert * 34 3-14 1-7 2-2 4 3 0 0 9 - -
T.J. McConnell * 34 3-6 0-1 2-2 2 4 2 0 8 - -
Chris Duarte 21 5-11 3-5 1-2 2 2 0 0 14 - -
Kelan Martin 17 4-9 0-4 0-0 1 0 0 0 8 - -
Torrey Craig 6 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 - -
Goga Bitadze 5 0-1 0-1 1-2 2 0 0 1 1 - -
Isaiah Jackson 4 1-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 2 - -

Minnesota Timberwolves

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Anthony Edwards * 39 7-19 2-7 5-6 9 5 3 0 21 - -
D'Angelo Russell * 38 7-17 3-9 4-4 8 11 1 0 21 - -
Josh Okogie * 33 1-4 0-2 0-0 3 4 2 2 2 - -
Karl-Anthony Towns * 32 13-22 1-4 5-8 8 2 0 0 32 - -
Taurean Prince * 22 0-4 0-3 0-0 4 1 0 1 0 - -
Malik Beasley 28 2-7 2-7 3-4 7 1 1 0 9 - -
Naz Reid 22 5-7 1-2 2-4 2 1 0 1 13 - -
Leandro Bolmaro 14 0-1 0-1 0-0 5 0 1 0 0 - -
Jaylen Nowell 6 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 1 2 - -

* = starter