Model Predictions
| Model | Oklahoma City Thunder | Houston Rockets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 64.1% | 35.9% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 58.4% | 41.6% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 63.7% | 36.3% | -3.1 | ✗ (16.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 46.9% | 53.1% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 49.3% | 50.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 48.0% | 52.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 47.9% | 52.1% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 44.1% | 55.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Houston Rockets +13 (102-89). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Oklahoma City Thunder
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shai Gilgeous-Alexander * | 33 | 9-20 | 2-5 | 2-6 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 22 | - | - | |
| Luguentz Dort * | 25 | 3-10 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Josh Giddey * | 24 | 1-9 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 5 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - | - | |
| Jeremiah Robinson-Earl * | 21 | 1-6 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Darius Bazley * | 20 | 0-5 | 0-4 | 4-4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Tre Mann | 30 | 5-12 | 1-5 | 6-6 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 17 | - | - | |
| Isaiah Roby | 26 | 8-10 | 1-2 | 0-2 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 17 | - | - | |
| Paul Watson | 20 | 0-4 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - | - | |
| Aleksej Pokusevski | 12 | 1-5 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | - | - | |
| Aaron Wiggins | 10 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Ty Jerome | 9 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 4-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Theo Maledon | 6 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | - | - |
Houston Rockets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kevin Porter Jr. * | 33 | 4-17 | 1-8 | 2-3 | 10 | 11 | 3 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Garrison Mathews * | 32 | 7-14 | 5-11 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 19 | - | - | |
| Christian Wood * | 30 | 9-17 | 3-6 | 3-4 | 21 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 24 | - | - | |
| Eric Gordon * | 28 | 4-10 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 11 | - | - | |
| Jae'Sean Tate * | 27 | 7-12 | 0-2 | 1-1 | 6 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 15 | - | - | |
| Armoni Brooks | 24 | 1-8 | 1-7 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Danuel House Jr. | 22 | 5-9 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Kenyon Martin Jr. | 18 | 1-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | - | - | |
| Alperen Sengun | 17 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Daishen Nix | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Josh Christopher | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter