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2021-11-30

Model Predictions

Model Charlotte Hornets Chicago Bulls Spread Result
Elo 28.0% 72.0% -
Bradley-Terry 28.2% 71.8% -
Margin 27.3% 72.7% +5.4 (8.6 off)
Pythagorean 46.3% 53.7% -
Efficiency 51.9% 48.1% -
Adjusted Efficiency 44.7% 55.3% -
Log Adjusted 44.5% 55.5% -
Points Off/Def 42.0% 58.0% -

Actual: Chicago Bulls +14 (133-119). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Charlotte Hornets

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Gordon Hayward * 37 8-15 2-5 4-6 6 2 1 1 22 - -
Terry Rozier * 36 11-17 6-7 3-3 2 4 0 1 31 - -
Miles Bridges * 35 4-8 0-1 1-2 8 2 1 2 9 - -
LaMelo Ball * 32 5-15 3-8 5-6 7 13 1 1 18 - -
Nick Richards * 6 0-0 0-0 2-2 1 0 0 0 2 - -
Kelly Oubre Jr. 32 8-17 2-7 0-0 3 2 2 1 18 - -
P.J. Washington 31 5-8 5-7 0-0 3 0 1 1 15 - -
Jalen McDaniels 27 1-8 0-4 2-2 4 0 1 2 4 - -

Chicago Bulls

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Javonte Green * 35 2-3 0-1 0-0 5 3 1 1 4 - -
Nikola Vucevic * 35 12-19 6-6 0-0 14 5 0 2 30 - -
Zach LaVine * 35 10-18 2-7 3-4 6 5 0 0 25 - -
DeMar DeRozan * 34 12-20 0-2 4-5 5 6 1 0 28 - -
Lonzo Ball * 32 6-8 4-5 0-0 1 8 1 1 16 - -
Alex Caruso 25 5-7 1-3 3-6 3 7 0 1 14 - -
Coby White 21 2-7 1-4 3-4 3 0 0 0 8 - -
Derrick Jones Jr. 14 2-4 0-1 0-0 2 1 0 0 4 - -
Ayo Dosunmu 5 2-3 0-1 0-0 2 0 0 0 4 - -

* = starter