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2021-11-28

Model Predictions

Model Sacramento Kings Memphis Grizzlies Spread Result
Elo 42.2% 57.8% -
Bradley-Terry 30.5% 69.5% -
Margin 19.5% 80.5% +7.8 (19.2 off)
Pythagorean 34.3% 65.7% -
Efficiency 14.4% 85.6% -
Adjusted Efficiency 16.3% 83.7% -
Log Adjusted 16.2% 83.8% -
Points Off/Def 22.7% 77.3% -

Actual: Memphis Grizzlies +27 (128-101). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Sacramento Kings

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Chimezie Metu * 23 2-11 0-6 4-4 11 3 0 1 8 - -
De'Aaron Fox * 21 4-12 2-5 2-3 4 2 0 2 12 - -
Tyrese Haliburton * 20 1-4 0-1 3-4 1 2 0 0 5 - -
Terence Davis * 17 4-10 2-5 3-4 4 0 0 2 13 - -
Alex Len * 6 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 - -
Davion Mitchell 30 5-12 1-5 0-0 4 6 1 1 11 - -
Buddy Hield 29 5-17 1-9 3-3 6 1 0 0 14 - -
Tristan Thompson 22 3-9 0-0 3-9 7 2 1 1 9 - -
Louis King 21 4-11 3-8 1-2 4 0 2 0 12 - -
Marvin Bagley III 18 1-3 0-1 3-4 4 0 1 0 5 - -
Damian Jones 16 2-2 0-0 2-2 3 1 0 1 6 - -
Jahmi'us Ramsey 12 2-5 0-1 2-2 0 0 0 0 6 - -

Memphis Grizzlies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Desmond Bane * 26 7-12 4-7 0-0 5 2 0 1 18 - -
Tyus Jones * 23 2-8 0-3 2-3 3 8 0 0 6 - -
Jaren Jackson Jr. * 22 6-13 1-4 4-5 9 0 0 2 17 - -
Dillon Brooks * 21 8-17 1-6 4-4 6 1 2 0 21 - -
Steven Adams * 20 1-4 0-0 1-2 12 4 1 3 3 - -
De'Anthony Melton 18 4-9 3-6 3-4 5 4 0 0 14 - -
Kyle Anderson 18 3-6 1-2 0-0 5 4 1 0 7 - -
John Konchar 18 4-4 1-1 0-0 9 2 0 0 9 - -
Ziaire Williams 16 4-5 0-1 0-0 2 1 0 0 8 - -
Brandon Clarke 15 7-8 0-0 1-2 6 1 0 1 15 - -
Santi Aldama 10 1-4 1-3 0-0 3 1 0 2 3 - -
Killian Tillie 10 2-4 1-3 0-0 1 0 0 2 5 - -
Xavier Tillman 8 1-7 0-2 0-0 0 1 0 0 2 - -
Jarrett Culver 8 0-3 0-1 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 - -

* = starter