Model Predictions
| Model | Boston Celtics | Toronto Raptors | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 60.3% | 39.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 59.5% | 40.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 72.8% | 27.2% | -5.4 | ✓ (6.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 51.4% | 48.6% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 64.0% | 36.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 62.6% | 37.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 62.7% | 37.3% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 53.6% | 46.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Toronto Raptors -12 (97-109). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Boston Celtics
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jayson Tatum * | 37 | 2-16 | 1-5 | 3-4 | 7 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Marcus Smart * | 36 | 7-16 | 4-10 | 3-3 | 8 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 21 | - | - | |
| Jaylen Brown * | 27 | 6-11 | 1-2 | 3-4 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 16 | - | - | |
| Grant Williams * | 27 | 4-7 | 3-4 | 4-4 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 15 | - | - | |
| Al Horford * | 26 | 5-9 | 1-4 | 6-6 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 17 | - | - | |
| Josh Richardson | 27 | 6-11 | 1-4 | 5-5 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 18 | - | - | |
| Romeo Langford | 25 | 1-5 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Enes Kanter | 21 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 9 | - | - | |
| Payton Pritchard | 10 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
Toronto Raptors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fred VanVleet * | 39 | 8-16 | 5-10 | 6-7 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 27 | - | - | |
| Pascal Siakam * | 37 | 8-19 | 0-4 | 2-2 | 7 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 18 | - | - | |
| Svi Mykhailiuk * | 37 | 5-14 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 12 | - | - | |
| Scottie Barnes * | 37 | 7-16 | 4-9 | 3-4 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 21 | - | - | |
| Precious Achiuwa * | 36 | 3-11 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Malachi Flynn | 15 | 3-8 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 8 | - | - | |
| Yuta Watanabe | 13 | 1-6 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Isaac Bonga | 11 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | - | - | |
| Justin Champagnie | 7 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | - | - | |
| Dalano Banton | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter