Model Predictions
| Model | Washington Wizards | Dallas Mavericks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 20.7% | 79.3% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 24.4% | 75.6% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 13.4% | 86.6% | +10.3 | ✗ (16.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 37.4% | 62.6% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 24.4% | 75.6% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 21.0% | 79.0% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 20.9% | 79.1% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 26.4% | 73.6% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Dallas Mavericks -6 (114-120). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Washington Wizards
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bradley Beal * | 37 | 10-14 | 1-1 | 5-6 | 5 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 26 | - | - | |
| Kyle Kuzma * | 34 | 7-14 | 3-6 | 5-5 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 22 | - | - | |
| Kentavious Caldwell-Pope * | 30 | 5-9 | 0-1 | 6-6 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 16 | - | - | |
| Daniel Gafford * | 27 | 6-7 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 14 | - | - | |
| Aaron Holiday * | 19 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 7 | - | - | |
| Raul Neto | 24 | 5-8 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 5 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| Montrezl Harrell | 20 | 4-6 | 1-1 | 2-4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Deni Avdija | 19 | 3-7 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Davis Bertans | 14 | 0-5 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Corey Kispert | 11 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - |
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luka Doncic * | 36 | 13-25 | 3-9 | 4-7 | 4 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 33 | - | - | |
| Kristaps Porzingis * | 35 | 4-12 | 0-3 | 5-6 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 13 | - | - | |
| Tim Hardaway Jr. * | 35 | 4-12 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Dorian Finney-Smith * | 28 | 3-5 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Willie Cauley-Stein * | 10 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - | - | |
| Maxi Kleber | 29 | 6-9 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13 | - | - | |
| Reggie Bullock | 27 | 2-7 | 2-7 | 1-1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Sterling Brown | 13 | 3-5 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Trey Burke | 11 | 5-7 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| Dwight Powell | 10 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - |
* = starter