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2021-11-28

Model Predictions

Model Charlotte Hornets Houston Rockets Spread Result
Elo 26.5% 73.5% -
Bradley-Terry 33.4% 66.6% -
Margin 27.1% 72.9% +5.4 (2.4 off)
Pythagorean 58.8% 41.2% -
Efficiency 75.4% 24.6% -
Adjusted Efficiency 70.0% 30.0% -
Log Adjusted 69.9% 30.1% -
Points Off/Def 60.6% 39.4% -

Actual: Houston Rockets +3 (146-143). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Charlotte Hornets

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Terry Rozier * 43 9-23 6-16 7-7 3 5 1 1 31 - -
LaMelo Ball * 39 7-19 2-6 3-3 11 13 1 0 19 - -
Gordon Hayward * 35 6-16 2-4 7-9 3 3 1 0 21 - -
P.J. Washington * 34 5-7 3-4 0-0 5 6 2 2 13 - -
Miles Bridges * 33 8-12 2-5 4-4 5 2 0 0 22 - -
Kelly Oubre Jr. 35 8-19 2-10 5-6 4 0 3 2 23 - -
Jalen McDaniels 21 2-3 1-2 0-0 6 2 1 0 5 - -
Cody Martin 14 2-3 2-3 0-0 0 0 1 0 6 - -
Nick Richards 7 1-1 0-0 1-1 2 0 0 0 3 - -

Houston Rockets

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Kevin Porter Jr. * 42 7-16 3-9 6-10 8 12 1 0 23 - -
Christian Wood * 40 13-19 2-3 5-7 16 3 0 2 33 - -
Garrison Mathews * 37 6-10 5-9 3-5 3 0 1 0 20 - -
Jae'Sean Tate * 36 6-9 2-4 2-2 2 5 1 0 16 - -
Eric Gordon * 36 8-14 4-7 2-3 1 7 1 0 22 - -
Armoni Brooks 20 5-11 5-11 0-0 1 0 1 0 15 - -
Danuel House Jr. 14 1-4 0-2 0-0 2 1 0 0 2 - -
Kenyon Martin Jr. 14 2-7 1-1 2-2 3 1 0 0 7 - -
Alperen Sengun 12 2-3 0-1 1-2 5 4 0 2 5 - -
D.J. Augustin 9 1-2 1-2 0-0 0 3 0 0 3 - -

* = starter