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2021-11-28

Model Predictions

Model Orlando Magic Cleveland Cavaliers Spread Result
Elo 31.4% 68.6% -
Bradley-Terry 25.6% 74.4% -
Margin 15.7% 84.3% +9.3 (3.7 off)
Pythagorean 33.1% 66.9% -
Efficiency 14.8% 85.2% -
Adjusted Efficiency 19.8% 80.2% -
Log Adjusted 19.8% 80.2% -
Points Off/Def 25.6% 74.4% -

Actual: Cleveland Cavaliers +13 (105-92). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Orlando Magic

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Franz Wagner * 34 4-13 1-3 3-4 8 4 1 0 12 - -
Wendell Carter Jr. * 31 8-13 1-4 2-2 11 1 2 0 19 - -
Robin Lopez * 31 6-9 0-0 1-4 2 4 0 2 13 - -
Gary Harris * 31 5-10 1-6 0-0 2 1 4 0 11 - -
Jalen Suggs * 31 3-10 1-4 3-4 3 3 4 0 10 - -
R.J. Hampton 20 2-8 0-3 3-5 4 3 0 0 7 - -
Chuma Okeke 18 2-9 0-4 2-4 5 0 0 1 6 - -
Moritz Wagner 16 3-7 3-5 0-0 4 2 0 1 9 - -
Mychal Mulder 12 0-4 0-2 0-0 2 0 0 1 0 - -
Terrence Ross 11 2-5 1-1 0-0 2 3 0 0 5 - -

Cleveland Cavaliers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Darius Garland * 36 11-21 3-7 1-2 4 11 1 0 26 - -
Jarrett Allen * 35 8-9 0-0 3-4 11 3 0 2 19 - -
Evan Mobley * 33 5-12 2-4 1-2 9 3 0 4 13 - -
Lauri Markkanen * 32 8-13 4-8 0-0 5 0 0 0 20 - -
Isaac Okoro * 26 3-9 1-3 0-0 5 1 0 0 7 - -
Ricky Rubio 26 1-6 1-5 2-2 4 8 1 0 5 - -
Cedi Osman 22 3-11 2-6 2-2 6 1 1 1 10 - -
Kevin Love 18 2-8 1-5 0-0 7 1 0 1 5 - -
Lamar Stevens 7 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 1 0 - -

* = starter