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2021-11-28

Model Predictions

Model Phoenix Suns Brooklyn Nets Spread Result
Elo 85.0% 15.0% -
Bradley-Terry 62.2% 37.8% -
Margin 65.5% 34.5% -3.5 (2.5 off)
Pythagorean 53.3% 46.7% -
Efficiency 67.1% 32.9% -
Adjusted Efficiency 64.3% 35.7% -
Log Adjusted 64.4% 35.6% -
Points Off/Def 55.0% 45.0% -

Actual: Brooklyn Nets -6 (107-113). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Phoenix Suns

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Mikal Bridges * 40 5-10 0-2 3-3 6 1 7 0 13 - -
Chris Paul * 35 9-19 3-8 1-2 8 5 0 0 22 - -
Deandre Ayton * 31 5-8 0-0 0-0 6 0 0 0 10 - -
Devin Booker * 31 9-18 4-6 8-8 1 4 1 0 30 - -
Jae Crowder * 29 2-9 1-7 0-0 5 3 2 0 5 - -
Cameron Payne 20 2-8 1-5 2-2 2 3 1 0 7 - -
Cameron Johnson 19 3-6 2-5 0-0 1 0 0 0 8 - -
JaVale McGee 16 3-7 0-0 4-6 10 0 0 1 10 - -
Landry Shamet 15 3-7 2-5 0-0 2 1 0 0 8 - -

Brooklyn Nets

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Kevin Durant * 44 13-28 4-7 9-11 9 7 4 1 39 - -
James Harden * 39 4-15 0-6 4-4 13 14 1 2 12 - -
Patty Mills * 37 3-7 3-7 0-0 3 2 0 1 9 - -
DeAndre' Bembry * 34 9-11 0-0 0-2 9 1 2 0 18 - -
LaMarcus Aldridge * 27 8-12 0-1 2-2 6 0 0 0 18 - -
James Johnson 27 3-7 0-0 0-0 6 0 0 1 6 - -
Cam Thomas 11 1-2 0-1 1-2 0 0 0 0 3 - -
Paul Millsap 8 1-2 0-1 0-0 1 1 0 0 2 - -
Bruce Brown 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -
Jevon Carter 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

* = starter