🐻⬇️🏀

@
2021-11-27

Model Predictions

Model Portland Trail Blazers Golden State Warriors Spread Result
Elo 43.4% 56.6% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 25.5% 74.5% - ✓
Margin 12.4% 87.6% +10.7 ✓ (4.3 off)
Pythagorean 26.2% 73.8% - ✓
Efficiency 6.9% 93.1% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 7.4% 92.6% - ✓
Log Adjusted 7.4% 92.6% - ✓
Points Off/Def 15.6% 84.4% - ✓

Actual: Golden State Warriors +15 (118-103). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Portland Trail Blazers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
CJ McCollum * 39 6-17 3-6 1-2 7 4 0 1 16 - -
Damian Lillard * 38 5-15 2-7 4-4 0 6 1 0 16 - -
Robert Covington * 30 4-11 1-7 0-0 6 2 2 0 9 - -
Norman Powell * 25 6-9 1-1 2-2 2 2 0 0 15 - -
Jusuf Nurkic * 23 6-10 0-2 5-8 4 3 1 0 17 - -
Anfernee Simons 28 7-13 5-10 0-0 6 2 3 0 19 - -
Larry Nance Jr. 24 2-5 1-2 3-4 6 3 0 1 8 - -
Nassir Little 19 0-4 0-2 3-3 5 0 0 0 3 - -
Tony Snell 9 0-2 0-1 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 - -

Golden State Warriors

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Stephen Curry * 38 12-25 6-15 2-3 7 8 1 0 32 - -
Draymond Green * 34 5-8 0-1 2-3 8 12 2 3 12 - -
Jordan Poole * 34 5-12 2-6 2-2 2 5 0 0 14 - -
Andrew Wiggins * 34 10-16 3-5 2-2 5 2 1 0 25 - -
Kevon Looney * 20 6-7 0-0 0-0 7 0 0 0 12 - -
Juan Toscano-Anderson 23 3-5 0-2 2-2 8 1 0 0 8 - -
Otto Porter Jr. 21 1-4 0-3 0-0 6 1 1 1 2 - -
Chris Chiozza 12 1-4 1-3 0-0 0 2 1 0 3 - -
Gary Payton II 11 3-3 0-0 1-2 1 0 2 0 7 - -
Nemanja Bjelica 10 1-3 0-2 1-2 4 0 0 1 3 - -

* = starter