Model Predictions
| Model | Milwaukee Bucks | Denver Nuggets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 18.8% | 81.2% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 39.0% | 61.0% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 35.0% | 65.0% | +3.4 | ✗ (14.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 48.4% | 51.6% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 51.6% | 48.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 52.0% | 48.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 52.0% | 48.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 46.5% | 53.5% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Denver Nuggets -11 (109-120). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Milwaukee Bucks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jrue Holiday * | 33 | 7-10 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 5 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 16 | - | - | |
| Khris Middleton * | 30 | 5-11 | 4-9 | 3-3 | 5 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 17 | - | - | |
| Giannis Antetokounmpo * | 30 | 10-13 | 1-1 | 3-9 | 13 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 24 | - | - | |
| Bobby Portis * | 28 | 5-12 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 11 | - | - | |
| Grayson Allen * | 24 | 3-6 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Pat Connaughton | 27 | 7-8 | 4-5 | 2-3 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 20 | - | - | |
| George Hill | 25 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | - | - | |
| Rodney Hood | 17 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Jordan Nwora | 13 | 3-5 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Georgios Kalaitzakis | 3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Thanasis Antetokounmpo | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Sandro Mamukelashvili | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
Denver Nuggets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Barton * | 39 | 7-20 | 2-13 | 1-2 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 17 | - | - | |
| Aaron Gordon * | 37 | 6-10 | 1-2 | 5-5 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 18 | - | - | |
| Monte Morris * | 32 | 6-14 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 1 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 15 | - | - | |
| Jeff Green * | 28 | 6-10 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 15 | - | - | |
| JaMychal Green * | 16 | 1-8 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Facundo Campazzo | 28 | 5-11 | 3-8 | 3-3 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 16 | - | - | |
| Austin Rivers | 16 | 0-4 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Zeke Nnaji | 14 | 1-4 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Vlatko Cancar | 14 | 3-4 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Markus Howard | 5 | 3-4 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Bol Bol | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Petr Cornelie | 3 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - |
* = starter