Model Predictions
| Model | Boston Celtics | San Antonio Spurs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 38.2% | 61.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 64.1% | 35.9% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 75.7% | 24.3% | -6.3 | ✗ (14.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 53.1% | 46.9% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 68.1% | 31.9% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 67.8% | 32.2% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 67.9% | 32.1% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 57.7% | 42.3% | - | ✗ |
Actual: San Antonio Spurs +8 (96-88). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Boston Celtics
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jayson Tatum * | 40 | 9-23 | 2-7 | 4-5 | 12 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 24 | - | - | |
| Dennis Schroder * | 37 | 3-14 | 1-5 | 1-1 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Marcus Smart * | 32 | 6-14 | 0-3 | 1-2 | 7 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 13 | - | - | |
| Jaylen Brown * | 27 | 6-16 | 3-7 | 1-3 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 16 | - | - | |
| Al Horford * | 25 | 2-8 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | - | - | |
| Grant Williams | 27 | 3-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 7 | - | - | |
| Enes Kanter | 18 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Romeo Langford | 16 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | - | - | |
| Aaron Nesmith | 10 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Jabari Parker | 4 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | - | - |
San Antonio Spurs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Keldon Johnson * | 38 | 7-12 | 1-2 | 2-4 | 14 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 17 | - | - | |
| Derrick White * | 37 | 5-16 | 3-9 | 4-4 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 17 | - | - | |
| Dejounte Murray * | 37 | 12-24 | 0-2 | 5-7 | 11 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 29 | - | - | |
| Jakob Poeltl * | 34 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 7 | - | - | |
| Keita Bates-Diop * | 18 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Bryn Forbes | 22 | 1-7 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Tre Jones | 17 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Lonnie Walker IV | 15 | 4-8 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Drew Eubanks | 7 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Thaddeus Young | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Joshua Primo | 4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter