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2021-11-27

Model Predictions

Model Atlanta Hawks Memphis Grizzlies Spread Result
Elo 56.3% 43.7% -
Bradley-Terry 35.9% 64.1% -
Margin 26.7% 73.3% +5.6 (37.6 off)
Pythagorean 42.2% 57.8% -
Efficiency 34.0% 66.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 32.4% 67.6% -
Log Adjusted 32.4% 67.6% -
Points Off/Def 33.9% 66.1% -

Actual: Memphis Grizzlies -32 (100-132). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Atlanta Hawks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Clint Capela * 29 11-14 0-0 1-4 17 2 1 3 23 - -
Trae Young * 27 12-16 3-4 4-5 1 10 0 0 31 - -
Kevin Huerter * 25 3-7 1-3 0-0 1 4 0 0 7 - -
Bogdan Bogdanovic * 25 3-4 1-2 1-2 7 4 0 0 8 - -
John Collins * 23 8-11 2-2 3-3 8 2 1 1 21 - -
Cam Reddish 28 4-10 2-5 4-4 1 2 3 1 14 - -
Danilo Gallinari 21 3-6 2-3 1-1 2 4 1 0 9 - -
Delon Wright 20 1-4 0-1 0-0 6 3 2 0 2 - -
Lou Williams 15 2-7 1-2 0-0 1 0 0 0 5 - -
Gorgui Dieng 12 3-6 0-2 1-2 2 1 0 0 7 - -
Timothe Luwawu-Cabarrot 5 2-2 1-1 0-0 2 0 0 0 5 - -
Solomon Hill 5 0-2 0-2 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 - -

Memphis Grizzlies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jaren Jackson Jr. * 23 5-15 0-5 4-4 5 0 1 1 14 - -
Desmond Bane * 23 4-12 1-4 0-0 2 1 2 1 9 - -
Dillon Brooks * 19 4-15 1-4 3-3 5 1 0 0 12 - -
Steven Adams * 17 1-1 0-0 0-0 2 2 0 0 2 - -
Ja Morant * 8 0-1 0-0 2-2 1 1 0 1 2 - -
Tyus Jones 20 4-6 1-2 1-1 0 2 0 1 10 - -
De'Anthony Melton 19 3-9 2-6 0-0 0 1 2 1 8 - -
Kyle Anderson 16 0-8 0-5 0-0 3 1 1 0 0 - -
Ziaire Williams 15 0-1 0-1 0-0 3 3 1 1 0 - -
John Konchar 15 7-8 3-3 0-0 5 3 0 0 17 - -
Killian Tillie 12 3-4 1-2 0-0 0 2 1 1 7 - -
Xavier Tillman 12 2-4 1-2 2-4 3 3 0 0 7 - -
Santi Aldama 12 2-3 1-2 1-2 1 2 0 0 6 - -
Jarrett Culver 12 2-3 1-2 0-1 1 1 0 0 5 - -
Brandon Clarke 11 0-1 0-0 1-2 5 4 0 0 1 - -

* = starter