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2021-11-27

Model Predictions

Model Chicago Bulls Orlando Magic Spread Result
Elo 40.8% 59.2% -
Bradley-Terry 52.3% 47.7% -
Margin 49.3% 50.7% +0.2 (35.2 off)
Pythagorean 58.8% 41.2% -
Efficiency 70.5% 29.5% -
Adjusted Efficiency 69.9% 30.1% -
Log Adjusted 69.9% 30.1% -
Points Off/Def 59.6% 40.4% -

Actual: Orlando Magic -35 (88-123). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Chicago Bulls

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Lonzo Ball * 31 4-7 4-7 1-2 4 6 5 0 13 - -
DeMar DeRozan * 28 7-16 3-3 6-6 5 4 0 0 23 - -
Nikola Vucevic * 28 7-13 1-4 1-5 8 3 0 1 16 - -
Zach LaVine * 28 8-14 3-7 2-2 4 5 0 0 21 - -
Javonte Green * 23 2-7 1-2 0-0 8 0 1 0 5 - -
Alex Caruso 25 2-5 0-1 0-0 5 3 4 0 4 - -
Coby White 23 9-11 2-4 0-1 4 2 1 0 20 - -
Ayo Dosunmu 18 3-4 2-3 0-0 1 2 0 0 8 - -
Derrick Jones Jr. 10 1-2 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 2 - -
Devon Dotson 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 3 0 0 0 - -
Troy Brown Jr. 5 2-3 1-2 0-0 2 2 0 0 5 - -
Matt Thomas 4 1-2 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 2 - -
Tony Bradley 3 2-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 4 - -
Alize Johnson 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 2 0 0 0 - -

Orlando Magic

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Wendell Carter Jr. * 29 8-15 2-6 8-10 10 2 0 2 26 - -
Franz Wagner * 29 6-14 0-3 3-4 5 4 0 1 15 - -
Gary Harris * 27 1-4 0-1 0-0 2 4 1 0 2 - -
Jalen Suggs * 26 5-10 2-4 2-4 3 3 2 1 14 - -
Mo Bamba * 23 2-6 0-1 0-0 6 2 0 1 4 - -
Chuma Okeke 25 2-7 1-4 0-0 5 1 1 0 5 - -
Terrence Ross 20 2-6 1-3 0-0 2 0 0 0 5 - -
R.J. Hampton 20 1-4 1-2 3-7 0 0 0 0 6 - -
Moritz Wagner 17 2-8 0-5 5-5 2 2 1 0 9 - -
Mychal Mulder 12 0-3 0-2 0-0 0 0 2 0 0 - -
Ignas Brazdeikis 8 1-3 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 2 - -

* = starter