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2021-11-27

Model Predictions

Model Minnesota Timberwolves Charlotte Hornets Spread Result
Elo 71.3% 28.7% - ✗
Bradley-Terry 65.7% 34.3% - ✗
Margin 73.4% 26.6% -5.6 ✗ (23.6 off)
Pythagorean 50.9% 49.1% - ✗
Efficiency 54.0% 46.0% - ✗
Adjusted Efficiency 58.1% 41.9% - ✗
Log Adjusted 58.3% 41.7% - ✗
Points Off/Def 50.6% 49.4% - ✗

Actual: Charlotte Hornets +18 (133-115). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Minnesota Timberwolves

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Karl-Anthony Towns * 30 9-18 1-3 6-7 7 6 1 0 25 - -
D'Angelo Russell * 28 8-15 1-4 1-2 6 5 0 0 18 - -
Anthony Edwards * 27 4-9 1-4 2-3 5 2 1 0 11 - -
Jarred Vanderbilt * 24 2-5 0-0 1-2 8 0 2 1 5 - -
Jaden McDaniels * 21 2-7 0-4 0-0 6 0 0 1 4 - -
Malik Beasley 27 6-14 5-11 1-1 0 1 0 0 18 - -
Taurean Prince 19 3-6 2-4 0-0 3 1 2 2 8 - -
Jordan McLaughlin 15 1-3 0-1 0-0 0 4 1 0 2 - -
Naz Reid 13 1-6 0-0 3-4 6 1 1 1 5 - -
Josh Okogie 12 2-3 0-1 0-0 0 1 0 0 4 - -
Jaylen Nowell 6 4-9 1-2 0-0 0 1 0 0 9 - -
Jake Layman 6 1-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 1 2 - -
Leandro Bolmaro 3 1-3 0-1 0-0 2 2 0 0 2 - -
Nathan Knight 1 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 2 - -

Charlotte Hornets

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
LaMelo Ball * 29 4-10 0-3 2-3 6 13 1 0 10 - -
Terry Rozier * 28 6-9 3-3 0-0 3 2 2 1 15 - -
Gordon Hayward * 27 7-13 2-5 2-3 6 6 0 3 18 - -
Miles Bridges * 25 5-9 3-4 5-6 7 1 1 1 18 - -
P.J. Washington * 24 6-12 5-7 0-0 6 1 0 0 17 - -
Cody Martin 27 3-5 0-1 0-0 3 6 1 0 6 - -
Kelly Oubre Jr. 26 10-17 7-13 0-0 1 0 0 1 27 - -
Jalen McDaniels 23 5-7 3-4 1-1 8 1 0 0 14 - -
Nick Richards 14 1-2 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 1 2 - -
Ish Smith 5 1-2 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 2 - -
James Bouknight 3 0-1 0-0 2-2 0 2 0 0 2 - -
Kai Jones 3 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 2 - -

* = starter