Model Predictions
| Model | Portland Trail Blazers | Sacramento Kings | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 69.4% | 30.6% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 40.8% | 59.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 31.9% | 68.1% | +4.2 | ✓ (0.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 37.9% | 62.1% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 33.1% | 66.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 31.8% | 68.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 31.7% | 68.3% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 33.1% | 66.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Sacramento Kings +4 (125-121). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Portland Trail Blazers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Damian Lillard * | 39 | 7-18 | 3-12 | 15-16 | 6 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 32 | - | - | |
| CJ McCollum * | 36 | 6-20 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 5 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| Norman Powell * | 35 | 8-16 | 5-10 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 22 | - | - | |
| Jusuf Nurkic * | 31 | 12-17 | 0-2 | 4-5 | 17 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 28 | - | - | |
| Robert Covington * | 15 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Nassir Little | 27 | 7-10 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 16 | - | - | |
| Dennis Smith Jr. | 19 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Larry Nance Jr. | 19 | 2-5 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Cody Zeller | 10 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Tony Snell | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
Sacramento Kings
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyrese Haliburton * | 32 | 2-9 | 1-6 | 1-2 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 6 | - | - | |
| Harrison Barnes * | 28 | 4-7 | 1-3 | 4-7 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| De'Aaron Fox * | 27 | 8-13 | 1-3 | 4-4 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 21 | - | - | |
| Maurice Harkless * | 24 | 5-9 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | - | - | |
| Alex Len * | 17 | 5-6 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 12 | - | - | |
| Davion Mitchell | 30 | 6-11 | 0-1 | 4-6 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 16 | - | - | |
| Buddy Hield | 29 | 6-15 | 5-11 | 5-6 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 22 | - | - | |
| Damian Jones | 18 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Marvin Bagley III | 18 | 4-6 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Tristan Thompson | 12 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - |
* = starter