Model Predictions
| Model | Atlanta Hawks | San Antonio Spurs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 20.0% | 80.0% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 46.2% | 53.8% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 44.3% | 55.7% | +1.3 | ✗ (19.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 47.8% | 52.2% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 51.6% | 48.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 50.6% | 49.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 50.5% | 49.5% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 46.1% | 53.9% | - | ✗ |
Actual: San Antonio Spurs -18 (106-124). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Atlanta Hawks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| John Collins * | 34 | 5-11 | 0-1 | 5-5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15 | - | - | |
| Clint Capela * | 32 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 13 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 11 | - | - | |
| Trae Young * | 30 | 14-22 | 2-6 | 1-2 | 7 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 31 | - | - | |
| Bogdan Bogdanovic * | 29 | 7-12 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 18 | - | - | |
| Kevin Huerter * | 25 | 3-7 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Danilo Gallinari | 22 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 8-8 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Cam Reddish | 22 | 4-7 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Delon Wright | 17 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Lou Williams | 13 | 4-7 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Timothe Luwawu-Cabarrot | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - | - | |
| Solomon Hill | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Gorgui Dieng | 3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - | - |
San Antonio Spurs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Keldon Johnson * | 34 | 6-13 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 15 | - | - | |
| Dejounte Murray * | 33 | 9-20 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 8 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 22 | - | - | |
| Derrick White * | 29 | 3-12 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 7 | - | - | |
| Jakob Poeltl * | 29 | 6-12 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 15 | - | - | |
| Keita Bates-Diop * | 17 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Bryn Forbes | 24 | 9-12 | 3-5 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 23 | - | - | |
| Devin Vassell | 22 | 1-6 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 3 | - | - | |
| Lonnie Walker IV | 20 | 2-7 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Tre Jones | 8 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Thaddeus Young | 8 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Drew Eubanks | 5 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Jock Landale | 4 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - |
* = starter