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2021-11-25

Model Predictions

Model Washington Wizards New Orleans Pelicans Spread Result
Elo 35.7% 64.3% -
Bradley-Terry 37.4% 62.6% -
Margin 28.3% 71.7% +5.1 (19.9 off)
Pythagorean 43.6% 56.4% -
Efficiency 37.5% 62.5% -
Adjusted Efficiency 36.4% 63.6% -
Log Adjusted 36.4% 63.6% -
Points Off/Def 36.9% 63.1% -

Actual: New Orleans Pelicans +25 (127-102). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Washington Wizards

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Bradley Beal * 28 11-20 0-4 1-3 5 1 0 0 23 - -
Kyle Kuzma * 27 2-4 0-1 3-3 5 4 0 0 7 - -
Spencer Dinwiddie * 24 2-8 1-5 6-8 8 9 0 0 11 - -
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope * 23 2-5 2-5 3-4 3 0 1 0 9 - -
Daniel Gafford * 14 4-6 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 2 8 - -
Deni Avdija 24 1-5 1-2 0-0 3 2 2 0 3 - -
Montrezl Harrell 23 4-8 0-0 2-8 9 2 1 0 10 - -
Raul Neto 21 3-6 0-1 7-8 1 2 1 0 13 - -
Davis Bertans 19 1-10 1-9 0-0 2 0 0 0 3 - -
Aaron Holiday 18 2-4 0-0 0-0 2 2 0 0 4 - -
Corey Kispert 8 1-4 0-2 1-2 1 0 0 0 3 - -
Anthony Gill 6 3-4 2-2 0-0 4 0 0 1 8 - -

New Orleans Pelicans

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Josh Hart * 32 5-8 1-2 5-5 7 4 2 0 16 - -
Brandon Ingram * 31 9-15 1-3 7-8 5 3 1 0 26 - -
Herbert Jones * 29 2-3 0-0 0-0 7 3 4 0 4 - -
Jonas Valanciunas * 24 7-18 1-4 6-6 11 4 0 0 21 - -
Devonte' Graham * 21 4-11 2-6 2-2 1 1 0 0 12 - -
Nickeil Alexander-Walker 23 5-11 2-2 0-0 6 5 1 0 12 - -
Willy Hernangomez 22 4-8 1-1 4-6 7 4 3 2 13 - -
Garrett Temple 13 1-3 1-3 1-2 1 0 0 0 4 - -
Tomas Satoransky 13 1-4 0-1 2-3 2 5 1 0 4 - -
Kira Lewis Jr. 12 1-5 0-2 0-0 2 1 1 0 2 - -
Naji Marshall 5 2-7 1-3 0-0 1 1 0 0 5 - -
Trey Murphy III 5 3-3 2-2 0-0 1 0 0 0 8 - -
Jose Alvarado 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 2 0 0 0 - -

* = starter