Model Predictions
| Model | Miami Heat | Minnesota Timberwolves | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 24.7% | 75.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 38.4% | 61.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 32.8% | 67.2% | +3.9 | ✓ (8.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 49.5% | 50.5% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 55.5% | 44.5% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 54.7% | 45.3% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 54.7% | 45.3% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 48.2% | 51.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Minnesota Timberwolves +12 (113-101). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jimmy Butler * | 38 | 5-9 | 0-3 | 6-7 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 16 | 21 | - | |
| Duncan Robinson * | 38 | 6-16 | 5-15 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 17 | 10 | - | |
| Bam Adebayo * | 36 | 7-10 | 0-0 | 4-11 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 18 | 17 | - | |
| P.J. Tucker * | 31 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 5 | - | |
| Kyle Lowry * | 22 | 3-6 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 13 | - | |
| Tyler Herro | 33 | 5-18 | 4-11 | 2-2 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 8 | - | |
| Gabe Vincent | 17 | 5-9 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 14 | 12 | - | |
| Caleb Martin | 12 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | - | |
| Dewayne Dedmon | 7 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 7-7 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 11 | - |
Minnesota Timberwolves
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anthony Edwards * | 43 | 13-27 | 6-15 | 1-1 | 14 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 33 | 30 | - | |
| D'Angelo Russell * | 36 | 6-14 | 4-10 | 4-4 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 20 | 18 | - | |
| Karl-Anthony Towns * | 28 | 4-12 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 11 | - | |
| Jarred Vanderbilt * | 24 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 15 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 8 | 27 | - | |
| Patrick Beverley * | 5 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - | |
| Malik Beasley | 37 | 9-19 | 5-13 | 6-7 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 29 | 15 | - | |
| Jaden McDaniels | 24 | 3-7 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 5 | - | |
| Naz Reid | 16 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6 | - | |
| Taurean Prince | 12 | 1-4 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | - | |
| Jordan McLaughlin | 11 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
* = starter