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2021-11-25

Model Predictions

Model Toronto Raptors Memphis Grizzlies Spread Result
Elo 59.8% 40.2% -
Bradley-Terry 37.2% 62.8% -
Margin 26.9% 73.1% +5.5 (18.5 off)
Pythagorean 43.1% 56.9% -
Efficiency 34.1% 65.9% -
Adjusted Efficiency 34.7% 65.3% -
Log Adjusted 34.6% 65.4% -
Points Off/Def 35.0% 65.0% -

Actual: Memphis Grizzlies -13 (113-126). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Toronto Raptors

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Gary Trent Jr. * 39 8-17 4-7 6-6 1 4 1 0 26 - -
Scottie Barnes * 39 8-14 1-3 0-0 9 3 0 0 17 - -
Fred VanVleet * 36 9-14 3-7 2-2 6 7 2 2 23 - -
Pascal Siakam * 33 5-12 1-3 6-8 7 2 1 0 17 - -
Precious Achiuwa * 27 7-11 3-3 0-0 4 2 1 0 17 - -
Svi Mykhailiuk 17 3-7 2-4 0-0 1 0 1 0 8 - -
Yuta Watanabe 13 0-3 0-1 3-4 3 0 2 2 3 - -
Dalano Banton 13 2-3 0-1 0-0 2 2 0 0 4 - -
Malachi Flynn 11 3-4 0-0 0-0 1 4 0 0 6 - -
Chris Boucher 6 2-4 0-1 1-1 0 1 0 0 5 - -

Memphis Grizzlies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Ja Morant * 34 8-18 0-1 7-10 6 9 3 0 23 - -
Desmond Bane * 33 7-11 4-6 2-2 4 1 1 0 20 - -
Jaren Jackson Jr. * 25 6-8 2-4 2-2 2 1 1 2 16 - -
Dillon Brooks * 25 6-16 2-9 6-8 2 3 0 1 20 - -
Steven Adams * 19 1-3 0-0 0-0 6 2 0 0 2 - -
Brandon Clarke 26 7-8 0-0 2-2 8 1 0 0 16 - -
Kyle Anderson 24 5-8 1-2 0-0 6 2 0 0 11 - -
Ziaire Williams 21 1-5 0-4 1-2 0 1 0 0 3 - -
John Konchar 14 1-2 0-1 0-0 6 0 0 0 2 - -
Tyus Jones 13 0-3 0-2 0-0 0 5 1 0 0 - -

* = starter