🐻⬇️🏀

@
2021-11-25

Model Predictions

Model Chicago Bulls Houston Rockets Spread Result
Elo 39.7% 60.3% -
Bradley-Terry 48.9% 51.1% -
Margin 40.6% 59.4% +2.1 (2.9 off)
Pythagorean 59.4% 40.6% -
Efficiency 71.9% 28.1% -
Adjusted Efficiency 71.8% 28.2% -
Log Adjusted 71.8% 28.2% -
Points Off/Def 61.7% 38.3% -

Actual: Houston Rockets +5 (118-113). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Chicago Bulls

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Lonzo Ball * 37 7-11 5-7 0-0 5 5 2 2 19 - -
DeMar DeRozan * 36 6-19 0-4 5-5 5 7 1 0 17 - -
Zach LaVine * 36 11-22 3-9 3-5 2 4 1 1 28 - -
Nikola Vucevic * 26 6-16 2-5 0-0 13 4 1 1 14 - -
Javonte Green * 26 4-6 1-1 0-0 6 1 2 1 9 - -
Alex Caruso 32 6-10 3-5 0-0 4 2 3 0 15 - -
Ayo Dosunmu 17 3-4 0-0 2-2 0 0 2 0 8 - -
Coby White 14 1-5 1-4 0-0 1 2 0 0 3 - -
Derrick Jones Jr. 11 0-2 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 1 0 - -
Tony Bradley 1 0-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 - -

Houston Rockets

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Kevin Porter Jr. * 36 5-13 2-4 2-4 6 9 1 0 14 - -
Christian Wood * 31 6-14 2-3 2-2 10 6 0 2 16 - -
Eric Gordon * 31 4-9 1-3 1-1 1 2 1 1 10 - -
Jae'Sean Tate * 21 4-10 0-4 0-0 3 1 0 0 8 - -
Jalen Green * 10 4-5 1-2 2-2 2 1 0 0 11 - -
Garrison Mathews 27 4-6 2-4 2-2 5 1 1 1 12 - -
Armoni Brooks 17 3-7 3-6 2-2 3 1 0 0 11 - -
Alperen Sengun 16 4-7 2-3 3-5 4 2 1 0 13 - -
Danuel House Jr. 16 6-7 4-4 2-2 4 1 1 2 18 - -
D.J. Augustin 15 0-1 0-1 0-0 4 2 0 0 0 - -
Kenyon Martin Jr. 15 2-5 0-2 1-2 4 1 0 0 5 - -

* = starter